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  paper, Feb 19 2009

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yoyoyo! i have a midterm tomorrow and i have some problems that i don't have the solutions to!

if you're bored, you can check my work, or if you just love probabilities that much, you can try to do them yourself without checking the solns! :}

[all my XC0 will be for clarity :d]



P9. 10 rooms in a ring. Each of the 3 Little Pigs checks into a different room. Let X = # of adjacent pairs. Find P(X>=1).
+ Show Spoiler [My Solution] +



P10. Draw 10 cards from standard deck. Find:
a) P(getting exactly 1 suit)
b) P(getting exactly 2 suits)
+ Show Spoiler [My Solution] +


P14. Return 4 hats randomly back to 4 people (n=4). Let X=# matches. Find:
a. P(X=4)
b. P(X=3)
c. P(X>=1)
d. P(X=-)
+ Show Spoiler [My Solution] +


will add more as i continue doing practice problems...^^



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Comments (13)


  paper, Jul 29 2008

+ Show Spoiler +





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Comments (21)


  paper, May 18 2008



advance wars oozium -- 103 kb -- download

just like the nintendo game, you try to destroy the other teams' HQs. take control of cities to gain more gold per time. you choose a special ability in the beginning which you can use whenever your bar fills up. use the mountains for superior positioning and utilize the proper counters. it should be very similar to the original game.

early version by me, my friend Siegemech took over and vastly improved on it. hopefully my name isn't credited given how little it resembles my original map haha. hopefully, some of you guys can have fun with this. you'll need a few people to play though (the more the better). gl hf!




*****

Comments (4)


  paper, May 04 2008

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Epik High - Vol 5. Pieces, Part One
Genre: Hip-hop, rap, K-pop
Released: April 17, 2008



If you've never gotten into Korean music, now is a good time to start; Epik High's latest album is one of the best I've listened to recently. I highly recommend the following songs: 15 우산 ft. 윤하, 16 당신의 조각들 ft. 지선, and 05 연필깎이 ft. Kebee (marked with double daggers). Don't overlook the others though! A lot of people label 'One' as their favorite track, but imo it's a bit cheesy with all the t-t-t-ticking ;D. The "missing" tracks are just intros to the next tracks. Other songs I recommend from their previous albums include Love Love Love, Fan, Fly, Paris.


۩ ۩






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Comments (53)


  paper, Mar 17 2008


40 assorted maps -- 2876 kb -- download

some fun ums from way back when :}
they are the cream of the crop!
these are the maps i used to always play
check em out ;D




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Comments (8)


  paper, Nov 19 2007

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Nujabes: Hydeout Productions 2nd Collection
Genre: Hip-hop/Jazz
Released: November 11, 2007


01 Voice of Autumn
02 Sky is Falling
03 Waltz for Life Will Born
04 Imaginary Folklore
05 Hikari
06 Counting Stars
07 Another Reflection
08 Fly by Night
09 Old Light
10 With Rainy Eyes
11 Luv(sic.) Model Soul Remix
12 Windspeaks
13 Winter Lane
14 After Hanabi



Nujabes: 2nd Collection is highly, highly recommended. Fusing jazz and hip-hop, Jun Seba (nuJ abeS) creates chill and soothing instrumental music, perfect for working or just plain relaxing. However, it's not uncommon for Nujabes to feature rappers, producing some of my favorite songs (e.g. Lady Brown, the Luv (sic.) series, Feather). Some of you might be familiar with his work in Samurai Champloo (e.g. Aruarian Dance). If you enjoy this album, you should definitely try out his previous albums, which, imo, are much, much better. However, that shouldn't stop you from listening to this album. :D


۩ ۩




*****

Comments (6)


  paper, Aug 25 2007

hi TL~!

I began my first Liquibet two or three seasons ago & almost won first place if not for a critical vote I got wrong at the end (or the few small liquibets I accidentally missed ;x hehe). I was like "fuck it -_-" and skipped the next season. But at the moment, I'm second place!! I'd be first if the PST to Korea time switch didn't fux me over -_- I wanted to think over the Hwasin vs. Savior before the deadline, but I'm sure I would've voted Hwasin~ grrr @ empty vote. hehe. Anyway! I just wanted to share a few tips on the patterns I've gathered over the past year or so ^^ the irony is that I'll probably start losing my rank after writing this ^^; but i digress~

There is a huge emphasis on predicting upsets in the Liquibet. CruiseR won last season's Liquibet with 64.35% accuracy. Sixty-four percent. For every two matches he predicted correctly, he missed one. And he won. In general terms, those are pretty shitty odds.

So how the fuck do you hit upsets?


General Ideas

  • Risky Behavior -- You can't be afraid to take the risk for an upset. It's always possible for a potential landslide rape to become an upset. Remember, sixty-fucking-four percent for first place last season. Plus, it's such a good feeling hitting upsets that everyone misses, but that shouldn't undermine a player's dominance in a particular Starleague.
  • Ranking -- Being 1st is relative to the decisions of everyone else. If everyone had a one percent chance of correcting guessing the winner and you, five, you'd still be first place by the end of the season despite your shitty guess rate. By blindly following what everyone else is choosing, you're not going to end up at any significant ranking, just like everyone else. Recognize that most people don't take risks and end up nowhere, and recognize when an upset can definitely happen and few people will go for it. Conversely, don't go for the underdog for a majority of the games.
  • Popular Belief -- Just don't listen. When the average TLer starts hitting at least 75% in accuracy, start listening -_-;
  • Bias -- Even though it's obvious, think with your head, not your heart. That means removing all bias you've accumulated over the past years, i.e. players lose their edge. People always "vote with their hearts" (which is essentially just wistful thinking) and then complain about their ranking or the players later on. Don't do that shit.
  • Chance -- Most of the TL population playing the liquibet would fare better by flipping a coin, which is kinda sad -_- For fun, make a secondary TL account and vote for the opposite player from your main account. There's a pretty good chance it'll do better than your main account.
  • Research -- Even though it seems that luck dictates much of Liquibet, there's a reason why the top rankers consistently rank high season after season. You have to hit those upsets. Hopefully, every choice you make will be more thoroughly thought out than hastily chosen.


The Process
  1. Which of the Players is more dominating/streaking currently?
  2. Is any Player overrated? underrated? in the specific match-up?
  3. Read the user comments.
  4. Look for high rankers' explanations for their decisions.
  5. Who does the general TL population think will win? (Why are they wrong?)
  6. Weigh the Players' styles & experience.
  7. Ponder all these ideas until you have a decision.
  8. Has the Player been practicing this MU or ignoring it for another MU?


Additional Info
  • Mirror Match-ups -- There are tons of upsets in MM's. Go for the underdog unless the favorite is just too dominating, and even then be wary.
  • Unknown vs. Unknown -- These are retarded so I pick the lesser known (because most people pick the one they recognize), or I choose T>Z, Z>P, P>T (or whatever the current match-up stats dictate).




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Comments (10)


  paper, Jul 30 2007

+ Show Spoiler [is boring] +





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  paper, May 31 2007

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