That's a good point. Statistically, vP is his worst matchup, but its still really unproven at 6-7. His only series this year is his win over hero, 2-1 last round, which Hero admitted to kinda messing up. I haven't watched his games enough to know his tvp style...
the thing is i actually dont mind anyone still alive winning a gsl
Luepert United States. April 16 2012 13:13. Posts 1733
On April 16 2012 13:04 Juliette wrote: One of the terrans will get out of group A. I'm hoping for supernova but recently, its safer to pick virus. Genius and nani is a toss up (hehe)
Both zergs will fall out of group B
I'm not gonna try to predict C, everyone's too fucking good. Honestly I think group C will produce both finalists, but at least 1 will come out of that pool.
Maru shouldn't make it out of D, squirtle is too good right now and between Oz and MC, one of them will win a pvt series.
Hoping for an 6 protoss ro8 though, with Mvp and MKP making it out
I did consider that about Squirtle though. But Maru is beasting recently too and he only needs to practice TvP for this...
I don't think Oz or Maru will make it our. MC and Parting have some of the best PvP in the works, and really good PvT while Oz only has PvP that he he excels at. If Oz can make it past both MC & Parting then he could advance, but the second he faces Maru is where he drops out.
I think it'll be a Virus vs Squirtle final though.
http://www.youtube.com/user/sirmonkeh Zerg Live Casts and Commentary!
Juliette United States. April 16 2012 13:17. Posts 5036
Taeja has a better chance against Parting and a worse chance against Marineking than you may be estimating. Other than that, it seems reasonable, though of course statistically this is unlikely to happen. The chance is at least .0006%.
In each group, there are six combinations of people who could advance. Assuming that everyone has a 50/50 chance (just go along with it), the odds that your predictions will be right for the round of 16 alone are (1/6)^4, or 1/1296. Then, multiply that by the odds of your 4 selected players advancing from the ro8 (1/2)^4, which is 1/16, and the odds are now 1/20736. For the ro4 divide by 4, and then divide by 2 for the finals, and the odds are 1/165888, or ~.000603%. Since some players are known to be slightly better than others, your odds will be somewhat higher. But not by enough to make predictions worthwhile.
"If you don't drop sweat today, you will drop tears tomorrow" - SlayerSMMA
Wow what an insane amount of wishful thinking - you actually have a foreigner (or a chance for him) in the finals of the GSL
While most of us would like something like that, even not looking at any of your other predictions - the chances of naniwa reaching the finals are EXTREMELY small. He himself said his goal is to "maybe win one more bo3"
jubil United States. April 16 2012 16:45. Posts 1425