TL Mafia XXXV - Page 2
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Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
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Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
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Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
On December 30 2010 12:06 seRapH wrote: Hm, so mafia isn't bluesniping, but aiming at very experienced players. Getting LSB lynched must have made them real happy... Going to try to get analysis in tommorow. And how would they know who is blue? How would we know if they just missed? Could very well be they just hit those that have experience. But how would we know? How do you know? | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
On December 30 2010 12:12 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: alright everyone vote insanious or my previously outlined reasons. OK. On December 30 2010 12:35 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: Who would you propose we lynch? I am pretty sure about all 3 of you, right now I would prefer to go after Annul but I feel to get the backing on that would require very hard analysis. Tonight's hits make me think Annul is likely mafia and I can explain why. I still think you are most likely mafia but I can hold off on that judgment in favor of him. OK On December 30 2010 16:23 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: Just to correct his right now. This is false logic. It gave us information. a LOT of information. Redirecting a lynch last second gives us absolutely nothing except for knowing who a bunch of impulsive townies and a couple of mafia are. Like I said, look at the (day3?) lynch in Salem where they switched to Darth, Darth never defended himself or anything just the entire town switched the vote and got nothing for it. Watching that happen was terrible, considering they were about to actually lynch a mafia. As another note, holding off a lynch is rarely a good idea. Most of the time pushing off a lynch leads to the town completely forgetting or constantly pushing off that lynch. Look at pandain in Insane mafia. He was so obviously scum and they ALMOST killed him a few times constantly pushing it off. Pandain ended up being the only player alive at the end, winning the game for the mafia. Deal with shit now, especially when there is no 100% way to confirm someone that isn't completely ass backwards retarded. The first half of my post on Seraph where I outline the importance of blue roles was a farce. I do not believe for a second we need blue roles to win this game. My creed is that behavioral analysis is the be all and end all of mafia, you either analyze and win or you don't and you lose. Blue roles can help, but at the end of the day who gives a shit about a DT check when there is a framer/miller/godfather in the game. I just wanted to try to see what the response was to that post, while outlining an analysis on a suspicious player. Unfortunately I was at work shortly after I got around to posting that so I wasn't able to see the results until I got home after 10PM when the Day was over, but I still think it served its purpose which is why I attacked you and Seraph. OK On December 30 2010 18:57 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: Alright. So I am tired of this town being wishwashy so much. Tomorrow before I go to work I am going to decide on a lynch target. We are going to kill them, if I am wrong you guys can kill me if you so wish it. The thing is I will chose my target, I will push them relentlessly, and I will be right. I will most likely choose one of the three mentioned before, but it is going to be large analysis followed by a relentless attack until I get my way. I see three candidates going out right now with some shitty stupid reasoning. I will examine every person being suggested right now and decide which one is best. I welcome all who oppose me. OK then, Wishy washy much? Right now you have my vote. | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
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Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
On December 31 2010 02:12 Barundar wrote: Discussion just died, no way we are getting anywhere like this. I'm not sure we need another all out war between 2 players now, even if you have been right in other games - to be honest this is the first time I have seen you alive by day 2 as town in the 2 games I've played with you. I'm not entirely sure what the rationale behind voting Insanious is, he was very active throughout yesterday, and would a mafia really have an incentitive to put themselves in the spotlight that much for an innocent? Same reasoning kinda rules out Pandain as scum for me, why would he be so wavering to defend a blue? I'd like to get some more people's opinion on these targets. LSB's aim was to lure out lurkers, before he got sidetracked by the debate between himself and annul. Honest opinions will atleast give us something to work with. I don't see Insanious or Pandain as scum atm either. I still think TheMango and Brockett are red. I'm also leaning towards ROL now after his moment of flailing about. Also Tevo has been non existant and well under the radar. | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
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Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
Good evening all. There is no analysis or finger pointing in this post. Merely a heads up to the fact that I am now off work for the next 3 days and I fully intend to remain inebriated until Sunday night. So I may begin posting things that make less sense than I already have. This is my second game of Mafia. My first was HP Mafia. I died the first night so I've already reached a milestone of sorts. And yes there is a reason for this rambling if you'll indulge me for a minute. I see you guys making posts with your analysis. I do read all of it. But my own personal forum style is typically very short and to the point one liners. I am aware that this has put some of you off. That I appear to be some type of lurker. But that is truly not the case. If you look at what I say it is typically very succinct and to the point. If I make a point without an enormous amount of analysis behind it, it's because I have assumed you have all read the same things I have. I don't say much but I usually speak volumes. Happy New years eve to those of you now living in Dec 31st. I'll join you shortly. Lynch ROL | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
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Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
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Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
I'm new here. I have been aware of this place for years because of my love for Starcraft but I never joined until I was asked to in order to participate in the Mafia games. A few of your members probably know me. Most probably don't. This is where I live at on the internet: http://www.ultimate-guitar.com/forum/search.php?searchid=6010406 Feel free to analyze me. I'm all about 1 liners. | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
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Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
You'll have to dig but it's the same forum. Same user name. | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
He seems to believe this fact has relevance here. I don't get it. | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
I can understand why red would want a double lynch on day two but it makes no sense for town to push for a double lynch today. | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
On January 01 2011 05:40 orgolove wrote: ... serious? I would agree with Lunar Destiny on a day 3 double lynch. | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
On January 01 2011 06:25 GGQ wrote: What you don't seem to understand is that voting for a double lynch today means that we have a double lynch tomorrow. Ahh. Alright then. I assumed the vote was for today's actions. | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
Honestly there is not much to analyze after his tunneling of LSB. I'm not going to revisit that. Most of his posts since day 1 lynch are in defense of his tunneling. And since he has fallen oddly silent. I'm assuming he got what he wanted on day 1 and is either mafia going into lurk mode or is a disappointed townie because he helped get a blue lynched. His defense of his actions during night 1 lend themselves to the latter. annul - most likely scum. | ||
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
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Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
On January 02 2011 23:01 Node wrote: I'm willing to bet a bajillion ESPORTS dollars that RoL is mafia -- mostly for the reasons that Barundar posted. He's right in that the mini-fight with annul after annul's lynch was practically inevitable confirms it. His attempt to gain medic protection tonight as he's a prime vigi target makes me even more sure. My belief he is Mafia lies more with the fact that his analysis of annul came with less than an hour to vote with annul already holding the lynch lead and was "accidentally" posted in the voting thread. It appears to be no more than a ploy to say "look I outed the GF" | ||
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