This weakens my argument against Disfo as well, even if my initial assumption was true.
##Unvote
My to-do before the deadline is to reread the cases on Trfel and Fid, read Fid's filter and decide the more likely scum.
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DoYouHas
United States1140 Posts
This weakens my argument against Disfo as well, even if my initial assumption was true. ##Unvote My to-do before the deadline is to reread the cases on Trfel and Fid, read Fid's filter and decide the more likely scum. | ||
DoYouHas
United States1140 Posts
On December 09 2015 06:52 NocturneMage wrote: Show nested quote + On December 09 2015 03:16 Rels wrote: On December 09 2015 03:11 NocturneMage wrote: On December 09 2015 03:04 Fidei86 wrote: On December 09 2015 02:51 disformation wrote: On December 09 2015 02:43 NocturneMage wrote: On December 09 2015 02:29 Fidei86 wrote: (Disclaimer: Currently drunk) What are the odds that Mafia Trfel thread re-enters and calls the current wagon dumpster, and tries for a wagon on NM or Rels who nobody else wants to vote? High. He did this last game, I'm almost positive. Hm. He came in when 3 ppl where voting on his teammate D1 and called that wagon mafia motivated and tried to discredit the wagon starter. Doesn't that mean that it would be Trfel DYH? Does that team even make sense? Is it likely the two main wagons Trfel and DYH (NM! Lynch LS with me) are both Mafia? Xmas party at work. It is absolutely possible that the team is HTS/DYH/Trfel (particularly with Trfel's hard defence of DYH and DYH looking into Trfel, albeit slightly delayed), and I said to Rels that the points on DYH can be sorted, but the evidence against Trfel is more definitive and alignment indicative than what is on DYH. How likely is another question though and I had tried to make the argument that you always lynch the more likely mafia of the two. HTS was 1000% more likely than DYH yesterday, and Trfel is much more likely than DYH today. he is making a position change that he cannot possibly believe. the bussing argument has been beaten to death, rels needs to explain how the read on me isn't natural because I'm apparently too dumb to see it. He mentioned that he kinda townread you; then he mentioned the NM busing theory makes some sense; then he drops it entirely. continuing back end of filter. This is entirely true, now to check it in context. two questions (1) prioritisation of issues, not clear on how to pursue people - why trfel and fidei, disfo drop was fine because it was the same issue - they can't control what hts does and so they have to look at the interactions from both people. (2) were some of these statements with thread sentiment, like to blend in? checking context of thread. might even need to parse a scum game of his. still really not sure this trumps trfel but damn me if I don't check shit first. I'm here through deadline now. Ask me stuff. I'm reading filters atm. Disfo, you should shelf the title of "best case of career" for when you write one with a correct conclusion. | ||
DoYouHas
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##Vote: Disformation Shining, get on this wagon. | ||
DoYouHas
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DoYouHas
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##Vote: Disfo See you all tomorrow. | ||
DoYouHas
United States1140 Posts
On December 11 2015 10:45 NocturneMage wrote: DYH, I have a question for you. Let me give you this hypothetical scenario. You are town. Let's say disformation is lynched, and he flips town. Who is likely to be scum in that situation and why? Rels, definitely rels. I'm actually considering him being potentially more likely than disfo. Trfel's death points his direction. He has push cases and suspicions almost exclusively on townies. He defends or doesn't interact with scum. | ||
DoYouHas
United States1140 Posts
Damdred- Read as townie by majority of players, killed when he has few scumreads or pushes going. Palmar- Difficult lynch, killed before he starts really solving the game Trfel- Essentially confirmed town, no reads going into the day The common thread for every kill has been someone who would be difficult to lynch but could also come at the game with a new perspective. This implies that scum is less threatened by the current sentiment of the thread and more worried about an unknown element coming in and screwing things up. The person that fits this mentality the best atm is Rels. There is the added benefit that Trfel was also one of the most likely among us to suspect and push Rels. It is a bit WIFOM, but adding the fact that disfo hammered ff to the fact that Shining is still with us, my money is on Rels flipping scum over disfo. ##Vote: Rels | ||
DoYouHas
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DoYouHas
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On December 12 2015 07:17 Rels wrote: Show nested quote + On December 12 2015 07:14 DoYouHas wrote: So I just stuck with where my head was at when I had last looked at the game. Your filter dive had him as town at EOD1 and during D2. It was only a HTS' filter analysis that put him as scum. You never filter dove him (when you said you would BTW) and just went for him. Yes. I put off a full filter analysis of him. When I caught back up it looked like the lynch was going to be between Fid and Trfel so I put my energy there. | ||
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