On December 10 2016 06:31 cakepie wrote:
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+ Show Spoiler +
sorry, misclick "post" accidentally instead of "preview". disregard.
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cakepie
985 Posts
On December 10 2016 06:31 cakepie wrote: + Show Spoiler + sorry, misclick "post" accidentally instead of "preview". disregard. | ||
cakepie
985 Posts
Sorry for being an idiotcop it is my first time as cop. I didn't want to lazycop because of the particular game format and I thought maybe scum wouldn't blue hunt among the superduper active townies. The good news is I think the game is solved even without cop powers? Like even if you tear down the weak parts of my cases there should be a fair bit left for you to proceed. So use my fuckinghugepost well. On December 08 2016 20:39 cakepie wrote: Not explaining it now has a town motivation of denying information to scum. I don't see a need to explain everything now and give scum time to ponder over it. Town doesn't need my full explanation today (game D1, not real time), but will have it by tomorrow (that is to say, D2.) when it matters. ExO's post initially resonated strongly with me, so I gut reacted with town tunnel. Being on the wrong side of the planet from all of you made it important to me to have time to be able to counterclaim, since I worry I may not be online at the same time as you all. Furthermore, I was very worried about 25% bluesnipe odds. In fact, due to: - town?ExO VT claiming from the start - ExO demands 100% cop claim in N0, ExO doesn't claim cop on D1 - ExO demands cop claim ASAP in #112, ExO doesn't claim cop I was concerned that ExO had stupid!town helped scum to 33% bluesnipe odds by eliminating himself as cop. On December 07 2016 21:31 cakepie wrote: I also believe I might have an inkling of what you typed out and deleted. Maybe we're thinking the same thing that we don't want to speak about yet. I was worried that scumbleweed would fakeclaim cop -- bad!cop would supply additional excuses for the N0 planning. But it's okay now since it's obvious that scum!ExO - just wanted to bait a cop claim, and - wasn't able to see how his own (increasinly solid) VT claim harms town. - didn't understand why I withheld information for town motivations (Sorry I actually went and explained it to him in my anger and incredulity.) + Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + My+ Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + | ||
Acrofales
Spain17186 Posts
Day 2 Hopeless1der, vanilla townie has died. It is now Day 2. The day will end instantly when a majority is reached. You may vote for a player by typing ##vote: Qatol in this thread. You may also vote for no lynch (by typing ##vote: no lynch). If no consensus is reached in , the day will end without a lynch. | ||
cakepie
985 Posts
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NeverUnlucky
Canada1622 Posts
On December 10 2016 07:10 cakepie wrote: Hmmm. What are your checks? Which of me/Ray do you have a green on? I'm guessing Ray because you don't want me to go after him? | ||
NeverUnlucky
Canada1622 Posts
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NeverUnlucky
Canada1622 Posts
On December 10 2016 07:12 NeverUnlucky wrote: What are your checks? Which of me/Ray do you have a green on? I'm guessing Ray because you don't want me to go after him? ??? Don't make me go through your filter seeking for your checks pleeeease. zzz | ||
NeverUnlucky
Canada1622 Posts
(^ This is assuming that either cakepie's N0 or N1 check was H1 as his entry in the day re: "Hmmm." does not suggest that he has 2 greenchecks aka a 100% win or a red-check) So I'll be back later. | ||
Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
I'm cop you idiot 1der is ray is mafia | ||
Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
the game is solved, for me | ||
Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
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NeverUnlucky
Canada1622 Posts
One of cakepie/TW is scum, and I'm leaning towards TW right now. TW, can you please show me your crumbs? | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
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NeverUnlucky
Canada1622 Posts
On December 06 2016 15:56 Tumblewood wrote: Show nested quote + On December 06 2016 14:22 cakepie wrote: if doc survives to D2 and cop survives to D1. 45% raw odds of fulfilling prerequisites for the plan, awesome! we can confirm up to five players as town sweet, even if no redchecks, we can find all five town by D3, which PoE the other two for confscum! good job! such plan much wow any NA still ard or am I stuck waiting for EU to wake up? pls it's 25/42 odds (so about 59%?) of prerequisites. anyway even if the odds slightly favor us I'd rather play a solid game with real reads and such. blue roles are boring On December 08 2016 12:19 Tumblewood wrote: also funny th\t 1der's list of who to lynch is the reverse of mine, perfectly (except no lynch is still at the top ofc) On December 08 2016 15:29 Tumblewood wrote: idk I've only been around for a year but players who haven't played in a long time seem to be more anal than most. cakepie could be town but if so he's town that's really pissing me off. 1der too. if I had to guess it's between cakepie, 1der and ray because none of them have made me lean town at any point. On December 09 2016 07:19 Tumblewood wrote: tonight I will have a lot of time, which I will use to post extensive/organized reads (actually I have about 45 minutes to answer questions now). given that I had two votes and no one hammered, we can eliminate the following scum teams: ExO + NU ExO + 1der 1der + NU all other teams (there are 15 possible) would either need an extra town vote to hammer or include me. I strongly believe that both members of the scum team fall within cakepie, ray, and 1der. On December 09 2016 09:22 Tumblewood wrote: The case on Hopeless1der Preamble I plan on writing posts like this for each player still alive besides myself, going in order the filters are listed. This isn't necessarily an indictment but an analysis of each player and a reasoned guess to their alignment, trying to start from square one and not cloud my judgement with previous bias. I will not go through every post, but I will use quotes liberally. The case for
The case against
Verdict Probable scum. There are reasons to believe 1der is not scum, but his game is so focused on getting me lynched (especially given his shortage of original reasons) that it is hard to see him as town. There is 0 crumbs suggesting you checked H1, this is a fake-claim. Also, why wouldn't you have claimed cop when you had 2 votes and the pressure of a third if you were cop? ##Vote: tumblewood | ||
NeverUnlucky
Canada1622 Posts
TW is in the top of most people's scum-reads so it makes perfect sense for him to all-in and hope he gets a ML / trades 1 for 1 with the cop and gets his partner to clean up in mylo | ||
Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
also please don't vote me. as soon as both scum are online they can snap-vote me and end the game right there. | ||
Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
I will try to point out crumbs on my phone but it will be easier when I get home to a computer | ||
Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On December 10 2016 09:01 NeverUnlucky wrote: like, I don't see why cakepie would have fake-claimed cop at this point in time: he was in a good position in terms of being TR'd and was arguably the most influential player in the game. He could've easily diverted any lynch to the target of his choice, so long he convinces 1 town. It doesn't make sense for him to do so. TW is in the top of most people's scum-reads so it makes perfect sense for him to all-in and hope he gets a ML / trades 1 for 1 with the cop and gets his partner to clean up in mylo he wanted to seem proactive rather than reactive. if you or ExO were cop you could have checked me and they would have had to backpedal and attack someone else who was more townread we're already in MyLo so 1-for-1s don't exist. if the next two lynches are not scum - that is, are not cakepie and ray - town loses | ||
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