On December 13 2012 15:48 Havik_ wrote:
I so want Yonghwa to shock the world and beat Life.
I so want Yonghwa to shock the world and beat Life.
that wouldn't be so shocking ;p
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opterown
Australia54649 Posts
On December 13 2012 15:48 Havik_ wrote: I so want Yonghwa to shock the world and beat Life. that wouldn't be so shocking ;p | ||
stuchiu
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
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TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
On December 13 2012 13:38 jalstar wrote: I've been working on a model that maximizes the utility (log of money) that you get from betting on odds if you know the true probability. Assuming your model is the true probability here's what it spits out: 3 units on BBYong to beat Polt (return: 2.499 units) 2 units on Baby to beat Symbol (return: 1.96 units) 3 units on sOs to beat MVP (return: 3.78 units) 3 units on YongHwa to beat Life (return: 4.41 units) 1 unit on YongHwa to win at least 1 game (return: 0.455 units) Where 10 units are the most you'd be willing to bet, using odds from Pinnacle. No, I'm not actually betting as I live in the US. Let me know if you want more details and thanks for all your work! This is interesting. Thanks for not betting, I wouldn't want to be responsible for your finances. In the meantime, there's a new list out, where Polt got all the points from his IPL5 run. | ||
vayuu
Canada66 Posts
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Talin
Montenegro10532 Posts
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jalstar
United States8198 Posts
On December 13 2012 15:58 TheBB wrote: Show nested quote + On December 13 2012 13:38 jalstar wrote: On December 13 2012 01:09 TheBB wrote: I've been working on a model that maximizes the utility (log of money) that you get from betting on odds if you know the true probability. Assuming your model is the true probability here's what it spits out: 3 units on BBYong to beat Polt (return: 2.499 units) 2 units on Baby to beat Symbol (return: 1.96 units) 3 units on sOs to beat MVP (return: 3.78 units) 3 units on YongHwa to beat Life (return: 4.41 units) 1 unit on YongHwa to win at least 1 game (return: 0.455 units) Where 10 units are the most you'd be willing to bet, using odds from Pinnacle. No, I'm not actually betting as I live in the US. Let me know if you want more details and thanks for all your work! This is interesting. Thanks for not betting, I wouldn't want to be responsible for your finances. In the meantime, there's a new list out, where Polt got all the points from his IPL5 run. As an American I can't use Pinnacle anyway, it's all just for fun. | ||
mclalimace
Canada66 Posts
Bbyong 0-2 Polt BaBy 2-1 Symbol Mvp 2-1 sHy YongHwa 1-2 Life BaBy really impressed me against Flash in ro32, i dont think that Symbol can beat him but we'll see... Also GOGO Mvp!!! The return of the king!! | ||
Laryleprakon
New Zealand9496 Posts
SO excited to watch Mvp get his Nestea award (well next year but qualify for it) | ||
samurai80
Japan4225 Posts
Baby Mvp Life | ||
LightAssassin
Australia13 Posts
Though I expect a 2-1 =) Also would be nice to see Mvp in Code S even if he doesn't win again, but winning again would be amazing. | ||
Azzur
Australia6202 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17431 Posts
On December 13 2012 17:19 Azzur wrote: Hoping for all the post-patchzergs to lose! with the new patch we don't really know who the new patchzergs are yet | ||
mambar
United States841 Posts
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Qwerty85
Croatia5536 Posts
On December 13 2012 16:50 mclalimace wrote: My predictions : Bbyong 0-2 Polt BaBy 2-1 Symbol Mvp 2-1 sHy YongHwa 1-2 Life BaBy really impressed me against Flash in ro32, i dont think that Symbol can beat him but we'll see... Also GOGO Mvp!!! The return of the king!! Yes Baby really looked great in that series but that was TvT, it doesn't mean his TvZ is equally good. But we will see. | ||
eGoRama
Bulgaria1542 Posts
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LeLfe
France3160 Posts
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Hiea
Denmark1538 Posts
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NightOfTheDead
Lithuania1711 Posts
On December 13 2012 17:52 Hiea wrote: I think everything with the exception of Polt vs Bbyong, everything with be a 2-0, with either player winning, however Symbol will 2-0 BaBy. I wouldnt write off Bbyong so soon. Yes Polt is the clear favorite, but we could see one game taken off. In mirror MU one considerable mistake is enough to lose the game. | ||
Ruscour
5233 Posts
it's times like this I'm glad I have no life | ||
Die4Ever
United States17431 Posts
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