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[MSL] Slim Pickings

Forum Index > News 1 2 All
TL News
[MSL] Slim Pickings
December 17th, 2009 20:56 | MSL
Text by EvoChamber
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[image loading]
Banner by Alffla


With six open spots still remaining in its round of sixteen, it was already clear that the NATE MSL was going to be a few stars short of a constellation. Having lost twice in Survivor or in the round of 32, a host of fan favorites from all three races had already sealed their fate: Calm, July, Iris, Fantasy, Leta, Mind, Free, Luxury, and Stork would all be watching the remaining rounds from the balcony. As groups F, G, and H began to winnow themselves out, the question wasn’t whether NATE would be playing with a full deck, but whether there would even be enough cards to play a proper hand.


<font size='3'>MSL Groups F, G, & H</font>


Group F

(P)Bisu < Fighting Spirit > (P)GuemChi
(T)Bogus < Ultimatum > (Z)sAviOr
Winners < Odd-Eye >
Losers < Odd-Eye >
Final < Match Point >

With two unknowns and a faded legend tucked in with him in Group F, Bisu looked to have punched his ticket to the round of 16 before group F had even begun. Let's go over to Kwark for a recap of what went down.

+ Show Spoiler +

Group G

(Z)ZerO < Ultimatum > (Z)Hyuk
(Z)type-b < Odd-Eye > (P)Kal
Winners < Match Point >
Losers < Match Point >
Final < Fighting Spirit >

Group G looked likely to send at least two face cards forward, with the joker Kal and queen Zero in good form against Hite’s far-from-perfect Cell Zerg type-b and the thing chained in SKT’s basement known only as Hyuk, but anything could happen.

Hell, anything did happen.

+ Show Spoiler +

Aaaaand that’s group G for you. For once, the favorites advanced, but they did so in the most bizarre manner. Bravo to Kal and Zero for earning their rightful spots; they may not be the kind of guys who win starleagues, but they’re definitely the kind who’ll give the eventual winner a run for their money. Wish them luck, but not all of it.

Group H

(Z)EffOrt < Odd-Eye > (T)RuBy
(Z)FireFist < Match Point > (P)JangBi
Winners < Fighting Spirit >
Losers < Fighting Spirit >
Final < Match Point >

Though Jangbi and Effort were favorites going into the eighth and final group, given the results of the first seven groups, neither KAF's Ruby nor KT's Firefist could be expected to roll over for their alleged betters. Here's Kwark again with his expert analysis.

+ Show Spoiler +


<font size='3'>Round of 16 Predictions</font>


Match A
(P)BeSt thumbed down Fighting Spirit.

Game 1: (P)BeSt < Ultimatum > (T)Canata
Game 2: (P)BeSt < Odd-Eye > (T)Canata
Game 3: (P)BeSt < Match Point > (T)Canata

With Bisu and fantasy having dropped out of contention in both leagues (wtf), it's left to their backups Best and Canata to make SKT's presence felt this fall season. Unfortunately, though, only one of them can move on to the quarterfinals, and the smart money says it's Best. If his offensive macro style can beat Flash convincingly, it's virtually guaranteed to beat Canata. Still, with two two-player maps in the pool and the cliffs of Ultimatum looming, I can see Canata taking a game off the Dohtoss if he prepares well and turtles hard. Which, to give him credit, he does well. Expect long games. Very long games. Incidentally, Best looks to have hitchhiked his way back from the year-long bus ride July and Stork sent him on and looks like finalist material once again. Good for him.

Match B
(Z)hero thumbed down Ultimatum.

Game 1: (Z)hero < Match Point > (T)Light
Game 2: (Z)hero < Fighting Spirit > (T)Light
Game 3: (Z)hero < Odd-Eye > (T)Light

Now here's an interesting matchup. Hero's ZvT is a huge honking question mark at best. Unable to spam tier 1 units like he does against Protoss, his play comes off as unfocused. Light's TvZ, on the other hand, is renowned, like the rest of Light's matchups, for late-game excellence. Though hero has culled Ultimatum from the map pool, Match Point and Odd-Eye remain huge obstacles for him. If Calm bequeaths to him all the tricky builds he was saving up before he got bested in a group of his own choosing, hero might stand a fighting chance, but my money's still on Light to take this 2-0.

Match C
(Z)Kwanro thumbed down Match Point.

Game 1: (Z)Kwanro < Odd-Eye > (T)Bogus
Game 2: (Z)Kwanro < Fighting Spirit > (T)Bogus
Game 3: (Z)Kwanro < Ultimatum > (T)Bogus

I've got a soft spot for you, Kwanro (who doesn't?), but let's be honest: this map pool was made to weed out mid-level Zergs exactly like you. Long rush distances and hard-to-hold third gas expansions mean trouble, especially against a competent, by-the-book Terran like Bogus. Expect a Bogus sweep, accompanied by a lot of stale puns on his name in the LR thread.

Match D
(P)GuemChi thumbed down Odd-Eye.

Game 1: (P)GuemChi < Ultimatum > (T)Hwasin
Game 2: (P)GuemChi < Fighting Spirit > (T)Hwasin
Game 3: (P)GuemChi < Match Point > (T)Hwasin

If I'm not mistaken, this is Guemchi's first round of 16. I can't even count how many rounds of 16 Hwasin has made, but I can tell you how much he's made out of all those appearances. Still, with Hwasin having beating Guemchi twice in the EVER ro36 and a map pool that includes an Othelloesque Ultimatum and Blue Stormish Match Point (as well as a Colosseum III in Fighting Spirit), I'll predict a Hwasin win, even with his crappy TvP. If Guemchi proves me wrong, though, I'll be anything but sad.

Match E
(T)Flash thumbed down Fighting Spirit.

Game 1: (T)Flash < Ultimatum > (Z)ZerO
Game 2: (T)Flash < Match Point > (Z)ZerO
Game 3: (T)Flash < Odd-Eye > (Z)ZerO

This is the only best of 3 here that I wish was a best of 5. Actually, I kind of wish this was a best of 7. A slight bump against Hyun aside, Flash's TvZ has looked virtually bulletproof recently. It's the same macro-heavy Flash style, but his unit control and game sense have been so sharp that you could carve meat with them. But like his master and predecessor GGPlay, Zero's own macro-heavy style happens to match up very well with Flash. Flash is going to have to step outside of his comfort zone against Zero, but luckily for him the maps tilt heavily toward him, even more so after removing Fighting Spirit. I'll predict Flash 2-0, but really I just want to see some fantastic play from both of them.

Match F
(P)Kal thumbed down Fighting Spirit.

Game 1: (P)Kal < Ultimatum > (Z)Saint
Game 2: (P)Kal < Match Point > (Z)Saint
Game 3: (P)Kal < Odd-Eye > (Z)Saint

Saint has been around for a long while as a sort of jack-of-all-trades for POS->MBCGame: 2v2? Saint does it. Protoss sniping? Saint does it. Making the round of 16 in an individual league? After over six years of struggling in Survivors, OCLs, and ODTs, Saint does that too. He has his work cut out for him though. Kal's cunning, brutal style of PvZ is not to be taken lightly, but I think that if Saint does his homework (and notices how Kal skips building corsairs all the time) he can pull off a huge upset here. I'll take a chance here and say that Saint wins 2-1.

Match G
(Z)Jaedong thumbed down Ultimatum.

Game 1: (Z)Jaedong < Fighting Spirit > (Z)FireFist
Game 2: (Z)Jaedong < Match Point > (Z)FireFist
Game 3: (Z)Jaedong < Odd-Eye > (Z)FireFist

With ZvZ being what it is nowadays and two out of the three maps being two player, Firefist could conceivably pull off an upset and send the Nate executives running for the nearest suicide booth. But if Jaedong plays with the same composure he's been showing lately, I don't see how I could bet against him. Jaedong 2-1, though of course I'm hoping Jaedong 2-0.

Match H
(P)JangBi thumbed down Ultimatum.

Game 1: (P)JangBi < Match Point > (P)Stats
Game 2: (P)JangBi < Odd-Eye > (P)Stats
Game 3: (P)JangBi < Fighting Spirit > (P)Stats

Stats has been making waves recently, and Jangbi looks to have recovered from his long slump. I'll give Jangbi a slight edge since only he will get to practice with the best PvP player in the world, but Stats is no pushover. Jangbi 2-1.

Best of luck to them all. May the better players advance, and may the best player win the MSL.

+ Show Spoiler +
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That's not awful writing, DAMMIT. It's perfectly sensical english construction.
Old Post

 
 DoX.)   Singapore. December 17 2009 21:03. Posts 6155
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Great recap =)
 
Old Post

 
 Tyxiquale   Australia. December 17 2009 21:03. Posts 424
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just on time!
Dumb people don't know that they're dumb.
Old Post

 
 cokencheese   Philippines. December 17 2009 21:04. Posts 748
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Still, with two two-player maps in the pool and the cliffs of Ultimatum looming, I can see Canata taking a game off the Dohtoss if he prepares well and turtles hard. Which, to give him credit, he does well. Expect long games. Very long games.


Ugh.
 
Old Post

 
 SkytoM   Austria. December 17 2009 21:10. Posts 1135
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Kwanro > Bogus Dude. Kwanro has experience AND is a good ZvT player. Who can beat Hwasin on Odd-Eye will DESTROY the scrub named bogus. Kwanro Bo8 all over again!
Bisu... ;-(
Old Post

 
 HopLight   Sweden. December 17 2009 21:12. Posts 858
Profile Blog # 



Best of luck to them all. May the better players advance, and may the best player win the MSL.

+ Show Spoiler +



Hahaha this is so true and so funny!
Flash, Hoejja, JangBi
Old Post

 
 meeple   Canada. December 17 2009 21:13. Posts 10207
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Still, with two two-player maps in the pool and the cliffs of Ultimatum looming, I can see Canata taking a game off the Dohtoss if he prepares well and turtles hard. Which, to give him credit, he does well. Expect long games. Very long games.


Lol... you're a damn psychic.

Great write-up, I'm anxious to see how the rest of the MSL turns out.
Old Post

 
 meegrean   Thailand. December 17 2009 21:37. Posts 6013
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Nice work. Pretty detailed battle reports.
Brood War Forever!
Old Post

 
 dranjam   Poland. December 17 2009 22:39. Posts 198
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On December 17 2009 21:12 HopLight wrote:

Show nested quote +




Hahaha this is so true and so funny!

Hahhaha indeed.
First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight with you, then you win.
Old Post

 
 ProoM   Lithuania. December 17 2009 22:40. Posts 1741
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is there anywhere a vod from Best vs Canata on best vs canata Ultimatum? I couldn't finished watching it, my lesson started .
IMBA - International Mountain Bicycling Association.
Old Post

 
 foeffa   Belgium. December 17 2009 23:07. Posts 2056
Profile Blog # 
Great stuff. tx both.
觀過斯知仁矣. Ma Jaeyoon, always #1. Entusman #17. Go HoNtresh!
Old Post

  Harem   United States. December 17 2009 23:15. Posts 9351Profile # 

With ZvZ being what it is nowadays and two out of the three maps being two player, Firefist could conceivably pull off an upset and send the Nate executives running for the nearest suicide booth.


If the map pool was all 4p maps then I'd agree with this statement but 2p maps favor the better player as it is all skill and pure art as you know everything and exactly what opponent is doing. 4p maps have that annoying window where you are like "durr, what he doing?!?!"

Nice writeup though <3
[iHs]h8m 。◕‿◕。 저그 보고 싶어요 정은지 RIP aers ㅠㅠ
Old Post

  NiGoL   Sweden. December 17 2009 23:30. Posts 1844Profile # 
Very nice report, and VERY detailed. This is just fun to read.
http://www.blogger.com/profile/17867418606828039147 <- Nigol Blogger since 2001, 9 years of blogging ◕‿◕
Old Post

 
 hyst.eric.al   United States. December 17 2009 23:44. Posts 2332
Profile Blog # 
MSL is gonna be bad.

i pray no more good players will lose.
Leta , BeSt, Calm fan forever! 김정우, I am sorry I ever lost faith in you.
Old Post

 
 miseiler   United States. December 17 2009 23:45. Posts 1333
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How can you claim "ZvZ is boring again" and then cover the best hive tech ZvZ game in recent memory?
"Jinro soo manly wearing only a T-Shirt while the Koreans freeze in their jackets" -- Double_O
"He's from Sweden, man. We have to fight polar bears on our way to school." -- Yusername
Old Post

 
 251   Korea (South). December 18 2009 00:18. Posts 1386
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Really enjoyed this recap and preview, nice writeup.

Goooo Flash go
"If you can chill..........then chill." - Nony
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 Makhno   Sweden. December 18 2009 01:35. Posts 584
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Nice writeup, too bad about many of the advancing players though :/

Btw, that banner is hilarious, lol!
"If I think, everything is lost"
Old Post

  CTStalker   Canada. December 18 2009 01:35. Posts 9665Profile Blog # 
everyone should watch bogus vs guemchi
By the way, my name is Funk. I am not of your world
Old Post

  NiGoL   Sweden. December 18 2009 01:37. Posts 1844Profile # 

On December 18 2009 01:35 CTStalker wrote:
everyone should watch bogus vs guemchi


why? well bogus is good , something special going on in that game?
http://www.blogger.com/profile/17867418606828039147 <- Nigol Blogger since 2001, 9 years of blogging ◕‿◕
Old Post

 
 Kimaker   United States. December 18 2009 01:45. Posts 2068
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Why, would anyone say Best vs. Canata was boring? It was fucking hilarious!
Entusman #54 (-_-) ||"Socialism is the abolition of rational economy." - Ludwig von Mises|| "Optimism is Cowardice."- Oswald Spengler
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