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My Little Pony Mafia - Page 44

Forum Index > TL Mafia 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74
 
 GreYMisT   United States. September 19 2011 09:30. Posts 4666
Profile Blog # 

On September 19 2011 09:21 tnkted wrote:
Ugh that clears up a lot. Rereading thread.

FTR I'd rather not lynch jackal because he's the only other townie I feel 100% on


Unfortunately We don't know your alignment, so saying you feel he is 100% town doesn't mean much to us.
There are 3 senarios as I see it:
1) you are both green and everything you said is true
2) you are both red and performing the most epic gambit of all time
3) jackal is red and you are green, he is gambiting to make you believe he is green.

Of all the senarios I dont feel 3 is nearly as likely as the other 2, because jackal gave you his piece, as did WBG.

On that note you believe jackal because he gave you his piece, but you dont believe WBG even though he gave you his piece? maybe I'm missing something, enlighten me.

Anyway we need to confirm that #1 is definatly the senario we have here. the only way I can see to do that is to lynch jackal today. a DT check on him tonight would be unreliable because of the possiblity of insanity, framer, godfather, and whatever the hell else is lurking in ponyville that we dont know about.
"life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery" / Join TL Mafia! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Old Post

 
 GMarshal   United States. September 19 2011 09:33. Posts 20816
Profile Blog # 
Day 2


tnkted (0)
Nisani201
wherebugsgo

wherebugsgo (4)
Jackal58
Nisani201
Forumite
Lucidity
Jackal58
tnkted

Jackal58 (2)
wherebugsgo
Nisani201
Sevryn
GreYMisT

Nisani201 (0)
Greymist
wherebugsgo

Forumite (2)
tnkted
Cyber_Cheese
Curu

Lucidity (1)
tnkted
Forumite
Greymist
wherebugsgo

[b]Sevryn(0)
Jackal58

Cyber_Cheese(1)
Forumite

About an hour and a half left, with 11 alive it takes 6 to lynch. Dreamflower not voting. [/s]
"life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery" The measure of a terrible day is when you go to bed thinking "man, I wish the zombie apocalypse would start already"
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. September 19 2011 09:34. Posts 2931
Profile # 

On September 19 2011 09:15 wherebugsgo wrote:
If I were scum I would've happily kept quiet about having a piece and I would've definitely never sent it to tnkted. That would just be suicide.

A piece does you no good, but if you could get me to send you the other piece, and at the same time get me killed, then it´s 3 town down and an element in Scum hands, in return for your life. Before I sent to tnkted, you were never forced to do the same, and with some persuasion, perhaps I would have sent mine to you without any fuzz. After that, you could have said you hadn´t gotten a piece, and I would have been lynched as a liar. If it wasn´t for Nisani, my breadcrumbs, and tnkted, that could have been a possibility.

I don´t have any proof that this would have happened, but it could have happened, if it was anyone else who didn´t breadcrumb or had a Cutie Mark Crusader buddy.

And no, I don´t think WBG is scum, just exploring the possibilities here. He could be scum, that´s what I wanted to check. Lucidity, arguing with him makes him look Town to me, despite pushing for WBG. He´s explained what he was up to, and his reasons are not scummy. If he´s scum, then it´s because he´s pushing on someone we want to have confirmed, not because of the way he´s pushing.
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. September 19 2011 09:37. Posts 2931
Profile # 
Greymist, I think it was the other way around, tnkted gave his piece to Jackal.
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 GreYMisT   United States. September 19 2011 09:38. Posts 4666
Profile Blog # 
Well mother of God
"life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery" / Join TL Mafia! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Old Post

 
 GreYMisT   United States. September 19 2011 09:39. Posts 4666
Profile Blog # 
You are right, tntked gave his piece to Jackal who then gave the completed piece to tntked. This completely eliminates the 3rd possibility in my eyes, however the 1st and 2nd are still viable options.
"life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery" / Join TL Mafia! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. September 19 2011 09:41. Posts 2931
Profile # 
Jackals explanation. + Show Spoiler +
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 Jackal58   United States. September 19 2011 09:42. Posts 4264
Profile # 

On September 19 2011 09:37 Forumite wrote:
Greymist, I think it was the other way around, tnkted gave his piece to Jackal.

He did. My original suggestion to tnkted was we both keep our pieces until we had a confirmed townie to give them to.
Life can only kill you once.
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. September 19 2011 09:44. Posts 2931
Profile # 

On September 19 2011 09:39 GreYMisT wrote:
You are right, tntked gave his piece to Jackal who then gave the completed piece to tntked. This completely eliminates the 3rd possibility in my eyes, however the 1st and 2nd are still viable options.

While they might be both red, if they are that ballsy, but if we haven´t hit jackpot, killing one Town to confirm another feels counterproductive. We would probably end up with 2 dead Town today, that´s why I don´t like killing to confirm. It´s just lynching for information.
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 Jackal58   United States. September 19 2011 09:46. Posts 4264
Profile # 

On September 19 2011 09:39 GreYMisT wrote:
You are right, tntked gave his piece to Jackal who then gave the completed piece to tntked. This completely eliminates the 3rd possibility in my eyes, however the 1st and 2nd are still viable options.

If we were both scum you would know nothing about the item at all. I would have it and we'd be lynching tnkted today. Ya I'm a boss like that.
Life can only kill you once.
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. September 19 2011 09:50. Posts 2931
Profile # 

On September 19 2011 09:46 Jackal58 wrote:

Show nested quote +


If we were both scum you would know nothing about the item at all. I would have it and we'd be lynching tnkted today. Ya I'm a boss like that.

Or tnkted would allready be dead by last nights nightkill.
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 wherebugsgo   United States. September 19 2011 09:50. Posts 7930
Profile Blog # 

On September 19 2011 09:34 Forumite wrote:

Show nested quote +



A piece does you no good, but if you could get me to send you the other piece, and at the same time get me killed, then it´s 3 town down and an element in Scum hands, in return for your life. Before I sent to tnkted, you were never forced to do the same, and with some persuasion, perhaps I would have sent mine to you without any fuzz. After that, you could have said you hadn´t gotten a piece, and I would have been lynched as a liar. If it wasn´t for Nisani, my breadcrumbs, and tnkted, that could have been a possibility.

I don´t have any proof that this would have happened, but it could have happened, if it was anyone else who didn´t breadcrumb or had a Cutie Mark Crusader buddy.

And no, I don´t think WBG is scum, just exploring the possibilities here. He could be scum, that´s what I wanted to check. Lucidity, arguing with him makes him look Town to me, despite pushing for WBG. He´s explained what he was up to, and his reasons are not scummy. If he´s scum, then it´s because he´s pushing on someone we want to have confirmed, not because of the way he´s pushing.


You have no proof because I never had any sort of intention to do anything like that. Ever.

This is horrible, convoluted logic. The simplest explanation wins, and clearly this is not the simplest explanation, because if that's what I wanted to do I would've actually made signs that I wanted your piece.

I never asked for it. If I was scum I probably would've hinted that I would be a better recipient than tnkted, but I didn't do that, did I?

 
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. September 19 2011 09:51. Posts 2931
Profile # 

On September 19 2011 09:50 Forumite wrote:

Show nested quote +


Or tnkted would allready be dead by last nights nightkill.

Misread your post, thought you meant if Jackal was scum and tnkted Town, then tnkted would have died yesterday. Nevermind.
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 GreYMisT   United States. September 19 2011 09:53. Posts 4666
Profile Blog # 
I'm uncomfortable with just assuming we have 2 confirmed townies, but I suppose you are right, we need to lynch for scum. option 1 (both being town) makes more sense with the explanation you linked of jackal's.

I still feel that Lucidity is our best lynch for day2, his day1 play set off some alarm bells in my head, and tntked you posted some analysis of him day1 as well.

##Unvote
"life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery" / Join TL Mafia! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Old Post

 
 wherebugsgo   United States. September 19 2011 09:55. Posts 7930
Profile Blog # 
wherebugsgo (4)
Jackal58
Nisani201
Forumite
Lucidity
Jackal58
tnkted


My outlook IMO.
 
Old Post

 
 Jackal58   United States. September 19 2011 09:59. Posts 4264
Profile # 
This is a conundrum. We could lynch Cyber_Cheese.
Life can only kill you once.
Old Post

 
 wherebugsgo   United States. September 19 2011 10:00. Posts 7930
Profile Blog # 
Why would we want to lynch a lurker right now? You think he's more likely to be scum?
 
Old Post

 
 Jackal58   United States. September 19 2011 10:00. Posts 4264
Profile # 
Actually we can't. There's only 5 of us posting.
Life can only kill you once.
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. September 19 2011 10:01. Posts 2931
Profile # 

On September 19 2011 09:50 wherebugsgo wrote:

Show nested quote +



You have no proof because I never had any sort of intention to do anything like that. Ever.

This is horrible, convoluted logic. The simplest explanation wins, and clearly this is not the simplest explanation, because if that's what I wanted to do I would've actually made signs that I wanted your piece.

I never asked for it. If I was scum I probably would've hinted that I would be a better recipient than tnkted, but I didn't do that, did I?

I´m not proving your guilt, just the possibility of guilt, and while it´s convoluted logic, it paints a logical train of thought both from a scum and town perspective. You didn´t have to tell me to give you my piece, it was always on the table, and always one of the ways to clear up the situation. I repeatedly asked you to make up your mind about giving your piece to me. You could have said that you didn´t trust me, that I should give you my piece. I was waiting for an answer, on if I would get the piece or if I should give mine away, because I felt a lynch coming on. Before Nisani vouched for me, there was enough pressure that I might have given you the piece just to keep it among living ponies. It could have worked, and that you didn´t say you wanted the piece doesn´t mean anything, because it was always the most likely outcome, thanks to your mistake with the PM.
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 GreYMisT   United States. September 19 2011 10:01. Posts 4666
Profile Blog # 
Let us not forget, when lucidity came under attack he began posting like a madman, attacking WBG, then attacking forumite when you pointed out the fact that WBG gave up his piece without knowing what it would be. He also attacked jackal around that time as well.

The trouble with today is I strongly believe that one or more of Cyber, Nisani, Sevryn, dream, and curu are scum. But unless we all want to go for a random lurker lynch we dont have enough to go on for any of them.

actually does anyone know why we stopped voting for nisani? things got chaotic a few pages back. did he have a piece or was it because he was in a PM circle?
"life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery" / Join TL Mafia! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Old Post

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