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TL Mafia XLV - Page 70

Forum Index > TL Mafia 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
 
 wherebugsgo   United States. October 08 2011 13:19. Posts 7940
Profile Blog # 

On October 04 2011 06:43 Mig wrote:
Here are my reads for everyone

People I am very sure are town


Curu
Erandorr
kenpachi

Likely town

supersoft
wbg

Unsure

Forumite
nisani
risk.nuke
sinani
Scamp


Scummy

NC
DropBear
Sevryn
Jcarl

The top 3 I am very sure of 90%+ that they are town. WBG and supersoft I am probably like 75% town on. Any of the rest of them could potentially be scum.

For today's lynch I would probably focus on NC and Jcarl. But it would be fine to pressure any of the people I have on the uncertain and lower list.



Alright, so let me put this out there before I go to sleep:

I doubted Mig's reads earlier in the game because I felt like he didn't consider the merits of Incog/NC being town more. He doubted mine because I pushed Forumite as scum, threw doubts on the lynch of Palmar and took part in the Curu case.

Mig is a better player than I am. If you look at this list, it's clear he knew what he was talking about. After yesterday the only thing on this list that has been established as wrong is NC being town.

I admit that I didn't take his efforts seriously enough until today, when jcarl flipped scum. I was wrong about jcarl and that's my own fault. We should consider the information he provided us (and also go through Erandorr's posts to see if he'd breadcrumbed anything).

The bottom four on that list should be our focus. Those four are basically nisani, risk.nuke, DropBear, and sevryn.

ATM I'm unsure on DropBear because he appeared townie to me yesterday (and keeps saying he's looking for a replacement) but he's done nothing but tunnel Sevryn all game. It's kinda unsettling.

Risk.nuke I feel could swing either way as well.

Nisani is the most likely to be town out of these four.

Sevryn I'm sure is scum.

Finally, on the log situation: I did not fake those logs, and by all means I genuinely believed jcarl was town. He played very similarly (IMO) to how he played in resurrection. I wasn't really around for much of LoTR so I couldn't comment on his play there, but it's clear now that Erandorr probably checked jcarl and that's why he was so adamant about pushing his lynch. I've never seen jcarl play scum and by all means he was never on my radar. My fault for not considering all the possibilities.

These are the logs I have of my conversations with jcarl. I am missing the first log I had with jcarl because my browser crashed. I had 3 conversations total with him, all yesterday. These are the last two.

I'll recheck my inbox to see if I have anything else that would be useful.

+ Show Spoiler [jcarllog1] +

+ Show Spoiler [jcarllog2] +

Keep in mind these were all before I talked to DB in PMs. After I talked to DB in PMs I had a strong feeling he was town.

At this point to be honest with all of you the only player I can say I really think is scum is sevryn. After that we've got one scum among 6 players so I imagine it shouldn't be too hard to find the last one if we just pressure everybody.

##vote Sevryn
 
Old Post

 
 wherebugsgo   United States. October 08 2011 13:24. Posts 7940
Profile Blog # 
Some additional PMs in my inbox from jcarl:

Jcarl deciding Sevryn is not scum (I did not mention to him that I still thought sevryn was scum). He also never provided reasoning as to why he said this.

+ Show Spoiler [jcarl] +


+ Show Spoiler [day2PMs] +

Jcarl asked me a question following my case post. This was the exchange:

+ Show Spoiler +

Following is the first PM exchange I had with jcarl all game.

+ Show Spoiler [firstPMto/fromjcarl] +

 
Old Post

 
 Sevryn   October 08 2011 14:10. Posts 694
Profile # 

On October 08 2011 13:19 wherebugsgo wrote:

Show nested quote +



Alright, so let me put this out there before I go to sleep:

I doubted Mig's reads earlier in the game because I felt like he didn't consider the merits of Incog/NC being town more. He doubted mine because I pushed Forumite as scum, threw doubts on the lynch of Palmar and took part in the Curu case.

Mig is a better player than I am. If you look at this list, it's clear he knew what he was talking about. After yesterday the only thing on this list that has been established as wrong is NC being town.

I admit that I didn't take his efforts seriously enough until today, when jcarl flipped scum. I was wrong about jcarl and that's my own fault. We should consider the information he provided us (and also go through Erandorr's posts to see if he'd breadcrumbed anything).

The bottom four on that list should be our focus. Those four are basically nisani, risk.nuke, DropBear, and sevryn.

ATM I'm unsure on DropBear because he appeared townie to me yesterday (and keeps saying he's looking for a replacement) but he's done nothing but tunnel Sevryn all game. It's kinda unsettling.

Risk.nuke I feel could swing either way as well.

Nisani is the most likely to be town out of these four.

Sevryn I'm sure is scum.

Finally, on the log situation: I did not fake those logs, and by all means I genuinely believed jcarl was town. He played very similarly (IMO) to how he played in resurrection. I wasn't really around for much of LoTR so I couldn't comment on his play there, but it's clear now that Erandorr probably checked jcarl and that's why he was so adamant about pushing his lynch. I've never seen jcarl play scum and by all means he was never on my radar. My fault for not considering all the possibilities.

These are the logs I have of my conversations with jcarl. I am missing the first log I had with jcarl because my browser crashed. I had 3 conversations total with him, all yesterday. These are the last two.

I'll recheck my inbox to see if I have anything else that would be useful.

+ Show Spoiler [jcarllog1] +

+ Show Spoiler [jcarllog2] +

Keep in mind these were all before I talked to DB in PMs. After I talked to DB in PMs I had a strong feeling he was town.

At this point to be honest with all of you the only player I can say I really think is scum is sevryn. After that we've got one scum among 6 players so I imagine it shouldn't be too hard to find the last one if we just pressure everybody.

##vote Sevryn

I dont understand the case on me. I know I have been unactive and I apologize for that.but you say your sure im scum in the middle and then you really think i am scum. which is it? are you sure or do you just really think im scum?
You vote for me and only have two lines in your entire post? a vote post thats 99% defensive seems kinda odd.
also your whole defense here
+ Show Spoiler +
is basically you saying dont lynch me guiz im town sorry about my bad play
##vote wherebugsgo

Old Post

 
 wherebugsgo   United States. October 08 2011 14:27. Posts 7940
Profile Blog # 

On October 08 2011 14:10 Sevryn wrote:

Show nested quote +


I dont understand the case on me. I know I have been unactive and I apologize for that.but you say your sure im scum in the middle and then you really think i am scum. which is it? are you sure or do you just really think im scum?
You vote for me and only have two lines in your entire post? a vote post thats 99% defensive seems kinda odd.
also your whole defense here
+ Show Spoiler +
is basically you saying dont lynch me guiz im town sorry about my bad play
##vote wherebugsgo




I'm defending myself therefore I'm scum lol.

Dude Sevryn if any other player were to play like you, they'd get insta lynched. But because you've made a name for yourself for being scummy as town, I have uncertainty about you.

That's why it sucks. I can't say I'm for certain you're mafia, since you always play like this. But, the problem is that there are two scum and you've been scummy to everyone all game.

 
Old Post

 
 Sevryn   October 08 2011 15:01. Posts 694
Profile # 

On October 08 2011 14:27 wherebugsgo wrote:

Show nested quote +



I'm defending myself therefore I'm scum lol.

Dude Sevryn if any other player were to play like you, they'd get insta lynched. But because you've made a name for yourself for being scummy as town, I have uncertainty about you.

That's why it sucks. I can't say I'm for certain you're mafia, since you always play like this. But, the problem is that there are two scum and you've been scummy to everyone all game.



its not that your defending yourself that makes you scum its that if you take out all of your defenses your entire post is



I'm sure sevryn is scum
I really think sevryn is scum


then you vote for me
thats your entire vote post regarding me what kind of vote post is that
Old Post

 
 DropBear   Australia. October 08 2011 15:30. Posts 2454
Profile Blog # 
Has everyone forgotten what happened yesterday so quickly?

Sevryn was about to be lynched and then a sudden miraculous last minute switch saves him. Can we please just hurry up and kill him already!

I don't think bugs is mafia, he is just erratic. He's obviously trying.

One of things I think, in my judgement, is a good and useful way of promulgating your beliefs is to say them
Old Post

 
 wherebugsgo   United States. October 08 2011 15:37. Posts 7940
Profile Blog # 

On October 08 2011 15:01 Sevryn wrote:

Show nested quote +


its not that your defending yourself that makes you scum its that if you take out all of your defenses your entire post is



I'm sure sevryn is scum
I really think sevryn is scum


then you vote for me
thats your entire vote post regarding me what kind of vote post is that



Are you fucking kidding?

You do nothing all game and then call me out on this rofl

 
Old Post

 
 Sevryn   October 08 2011 15:52. Posts 694
Profile # 

On October 08 2011 15:30 DropBear wrote:
Has everyone forgotten what happened yesterday so quickly?

Sevryn was about to be lynched and then a sudden miraculous last minute switch saves him. Can we please just hurry up and kill him already!

I don't think bugs is mafia, he is just erratic. He's obviously trying.



gotta give your props for being consistent. I dont think you have mentioned anyone else this entire game. and last minute switches dont mean shit
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. October 08 2011 20:03. Posts 2934
Profile # 

On October 08 2011 13:19 wherebugsgo wrote:
Keep in mind these were all before I talked to DB in PMs. After I talked to DB in PMs I had a strong feeling he was town.

At this point to be honest with all of you the only player I can say I really think is scum is sevryn. After that we've got one scum among 6 players so I imagine it shouldn't be too hard to find the last one if we just pressure everybody.

##vote Sevryn

Could you please clarify, and perhaps forward the talk between you and DB that convinced you that jcarl was Town?
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 Erandorr   October 09 2011 01:25. Posts 1661
Profile Blog # 
Old Post

 
 wherebugsgo   United States. October 09 2011 03:26. Posts 7940
Profile Blog # 
No, you misunderstood that. In the logs I gave you of my talk with jcarl, I say that DB is scummy. Then I talked to DB a couple hours later and the way he talked to me suggested he was a townie.

I can provide those logs if necessary, I'll add them when I'm on a computer.
 
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. October 09 2011 04:00. Posts 2934
Profile # 

On October 09 2011 03:26 wherebugsgo wrote:
No, you misunderstood that. In the logs I gave you of my talk with jcarl, I say that DB is scummy. Then I talked to DB a couple hours later and the way he talked to me suggested he was a townie.

I can provide those logs if necessary, I'll add them when I'm on a computer.

Got it.

However that doesn´t explain why you were so sure that Jcarl was Town. What did you base this on?
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 wherebugsgo   United States. October 09 2011 04:07. Posts 7940
Profile Blog # 
I based it on three things, mostly:

The fact that I thought he was playing similar to how he played in resurrection.

His exchange he had with Mig about Incog, particularly as Curu had pointed this out to me when I thought jcarl was scummy on day 3 (the day after Mig died and the day Curu was modkilled) and Curu had suggested to me that this made him less scummy (I agreed)

The way he talked to me in PMs and was willing to discuss possibilities/share information.

The one thing that was strange to me was why jcarl suddenly had a change of heart about Sevryn. He said he thought Sevryn was townie when Sevryn had done nothing between when jcarl talked tome and when he changed his opinion. That makes me wary of Sevryn even more.

 
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. October 09 2011 04:55. Posts 2934
Profile # 
Apart from Sevryn, what are your reads? DB? Supers?
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 supersoft   Germany. October 09 2011 05:07. Posts 2746
Profile # 
You're asking me about sev and wbg or wbg about me? ^_^

i really don't know. I am torn between DB/WBG and Sevryn/Nisani/Kenpachi
It's just dumb to kill Foolish before the nuke lands. We're in no rush with that. We can easily wait for the additional information.
Old Post

 
 Kenpachi   United States. October 09 2011 08:19. Posts 9009
Profile Blog # 
##vote Sevyrn
safest vote atm.
I'm definitely in my zone.
Old Post

 
 wherebugsgo   United States. October 09 2011 08:30. Posts 7940
Profile Blog # 

On October 09 2011 04:55 Forumite wrote:
Apart from Sevryn, what are your reads? DB? Supers?


At this point I just want Sevryn to flip.

I'll try to PM people and see who might be scum.

Kenpachi and super are probably town, and I'm going to work on the assumption that you are as well.. Nisani/DB/risk could be either IMO but I'm leaning town on DB.
 
Old Post

 
 Forumite   Sweden. October 09 2011 09:25. Posts 2934
Profile # 
Jcarlsoniv was reluctant to vote Sevryn, and Sevryn himself acted more like a defiant Scum than a worried Townie when faced with a snipershot, and later the lynch.
:3 - "The ability to quote is a serviceable substitute for wit." - W. Somerset Maugham
Old Post

 
 Sevryn   October 09 2011 09:41. Posts 694
Profile # 

On October 09 2011 08:19 Kenpachi wrote:
##vote Sevyrn
safest vote atm.

really poor vote for me aswell. whats the case against me? that ive been inactive? that ive acted scummy? tell me why you think im scummy. if its based purely because of inactivity there are people who have been more inactive than me namely dropbear. and I think WBG has been scummier what with his misread after misread.

On October 09 2011 09:25 Forumite wrote:
Jcarlsoniv was reluctant to vote Sevryn, and Sevryn himself acted more like a defiant Scum than a worried Townie when faced with a snipershot, and later the lynch.

I am a drunk demoman why would i be worried about dieing? only scum and blues are worried about dieing because when scum die town gains more information about their team thats why when scum know they are dieing they stop talking.

If i get lynched who else do you think is scummy?

Old Post

 
 Sevryn   October 09 2011 09:41. Posts 694
Profile # 

On October 09 2011 08:30 wherebugsgo wrote:

Show nested quote +



At this point I just want Sevryn to flip.

I'll try to PM people and see who might be scum.

Kenpachi and super are probably town, and I'm going to work on the assumption that you are as well.. Nisani/DB/risk could be either IMO but I'm leaning town on DB.

What info do you get when I flip?
Old Post

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