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Pick Your Power: Redux - Page 64

Forum Index > TL Mafia 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87
 
 Qatol   United States. May 22 2012 23:48. Posts 3010
Profile Blog # 
Okay 1 last post before I head to the airport.


+ Show Spoiler [Snarfs] +
I agree that the post you pointed out does make him a little less likely to be mafia. At the time I was obviously giong to push PaqMan again and talismania had listed the risk.nuke voters and suggested that we look at Palmar or PaqMan. However, the discussion certainly wasn't focused on PaqMan quite yet and that's definitely something strong pointing towards hiro protagonist being town. That being said, I think the final mafia member has to be hiro protagonist, zelblade, or Zephirdd (Zephirdd being a clear third right now because of him taking a hit night 1, but still a possibility). Hopefully we will see more discussion on the subject. I believe any of them would make a fantastic lynch target today (pending hiro protagonist's roleclaim of course).

I had noticed that there was something off about slOosh as well. I agree that he probably isn't mafia (in fact, I would go so far as to say he almost certainly isn't mafia - his attack on PaqMan during day 1 was way too strong for that), but he's one of my higher SK suspects right now. This is mostly because I expected him to play a more active role in the discussion on day 1.

I'm okay with giving you tiers of players I would like to see roleclaim. I'll explain what I would like to see in a separate section at the end of this post.


+ Show Spoiler [zelblade] +
The roleclaim plan is more to help us narrow down who the SK is. I don't believe it will help us very much in finding the last scum (but I obviously could be wrong). The only reason I mentioned I want to hear hiro protagonist's roleclaim first is because I want an idea of what role we would be potentially lynching. Also, he may be able to narrow down our SK search some more.

I'm glad to hear that you would like to lynch hiro protagonist, but could you explain why a bit more? Is it simply that you agree with my case on him?
Is anyone familiar with hiro protagonist's history so we can compare it to this game? Sorry to be lazy about it, but I simply don't have time for research on the subject today.


+ Show Spoiler [hiro protagonist] +
I look forward to seeing your full case on zelblade. Like I mentioned earlier, I really feel like the final mafia member is probably one of the three of you, so please persuade me that it isn't you and is zelblade if that is how you feel.



On May 22 2012 19:55 Palmar wrote:
We should just murder sandroba, it's a really nice and easy way to continue today.

And it would be nice and easy way to lynch a probable townie. Could you please start putting a LOT more effort into this game? This is got to be one of the laziest performances I've ever seen out of a "veteran player".


+ Show Spoiler [Toadesstern] +
I wasn't shot last night. My guess is both the Mafia and the SK think the other will be shooting me, so they are both trying to shoot other players. If I had to guess, I'd guess that the SK shot Bluelightz (specifically hunting for a potential role cop, and finding him). I'd guess that the Mafia likely didn't shoot at all or shot the SK. But that is a pure guess.


+ Show Spoiler [Zephirdd] +
I think it would be premature to lynch anyone as a SK suspect until we get our roleclaims in order. Please withdraw your vote for now. However, I think it is interesting that someone else is also claiming to have whiffed on Politician. I wish you had claimed earlier - the suspicion isn't as valuable to us as getting a better feel for the location of such an anti-town role.


+ Show Spoiler [Toadesstern] +
Once again, I cannot carry the town any more this game. I'll be around, but I can't keep doing all of the heavy lifting. I would suggest doing a lot more of the thinking on your own and taking the time to make a spreadsheet for yourself. Alternatively, you can spend some time on various people's filters, starting with mine if you feel I'm on the right track, and then moving on to the possible suspects. There are several players in the game now who seem to have a pretty good idea of what we should be doing. If you read a little, you should be able to figure them out relatively easily.



On May 22 2012 21:47 Barundar wrote:

Show nested quote +


Not vanilla.

I'm relatively sure I know what he's going to claim, and if I'm right, it should take a lot of heat off him.



On May 22 2012 21:47 sandroba wrote:
I think barundar is the sk (he sugested the cpr mass murder thing, which seemed weird at the time, but I guess it makes sense as sk) and hiro is the mafia.

@Palmar How come you are pushing me for not devoting much time to this game while you are yourself doing the same? Let me play diablo in peace.

What I said for Palmar goes double for you. "Give me kp and I'll give you dead scum." Hmph. If you don't plan to devote the time to play properly (like because you're going to be spending your time on diablo), don't sign up, especially in a game where a bunch of newer players didn't get in.



On May 22 2012 22:42 Mattchew wrote:

Show nested quote +


what do you think about barundar

and I think that snarfs/sandroba is the last scum

You still haven't answered my earlier question. Do you think it is more valuable for the scum to bus their teammate than to use the JOAT's KP role and let the JOAT survive another day?
Also, I bring up a different post than risk.nuke, which is the main reason I cannot see Snarfs as being anything but town:
+ Show Spoiler +
Scum has absolutely NO reason to refocus the discussion onto risk.nuke, Sentinel, and marvellosity when there is a chance they will lose their JOAT day one. None at all. Heck, they may not have even WANTED a lynch because it keeps the town busy with this situation longer and keeps us from looking for other accused members (such as PaqMan). Why would the mafia convince slOosh and myself to refocus onto the sentinel/risk.nuke/marvellosity discussion when they benefit from having a split vote?


+ Show Spoiler [Palmar] +
I completely agree on Toad. He is definitely still a possibility. However, I agree that we have better targets right now. I just disagree that sandroba is one of them.


+ Show Spoiler [Zephirdd] +
Woah, calm down a little, please. He said that it's possible you took politician and are lying about it. He even said he doubted it was true. I agree with him completely. We have already seen something similar to this happen in this game with Sentinel. Are you really getting on zelblade simply for being careful?


As far as claiming tiers go, I would suggest the following:
Tier 1: slOosh and Misder
Tier 2: hiro protagonist and Barundar
Tier 3: Snarfs
First claim vanilla or role. Second, if vanilla, claim what you tried to take. Third, after the vanillas have all claimed, then claim your role if you got one. Within each step, do them in tiered order. So first slOosh and Misder claim vanilla/role. Then hiro and Barundar (though Barundar has already done this, so ignore him for this step). Then Snarfs. Then move on to the vanilla claiming step, etc.

Also, marvellosity, who is your townie? (Here's hoping it isn't Snarfs.)
Uff Da
Old Post

 
 Toadesstern   Germany. May 22 2012 23:53. Posts 6103
Profile # 

On May 22 2012 22:58 Mattchew wrote:

Show nested quote +


Is 1 mislynch on you worth looking bad to the rest of town? Sent took a risk (no pun intended) and he was going to hang for it day 2 if not day 1. Scum lost 1 kill and 0 overall kp from him dying and at the time, I think there was a strong voting force against you if I recall correctly.

He speaks with a lot of certainty especially in a time where there should not have been much (IMO) from outsiders perspectives.



On May 22 2012 22:54 Mattchew wrote:

Show nested quote +


sandroba not really caring about the game or aggressively asserting himself as town leader

snarfs cause his posts against sent feel like bus (which if you look at the situation retrospectively would be the right play as scum) and cause I believe that there is scum within all the [5,1] picks, and I don't think its palmar or qatol


that's exactly what I thought as well.

///here be huge explanation that got deleted because of ongoing-games-rule, *hinthint*///

The part about Sandroba however is wrong. There's a bunch of reasons to suspect him but him not caring isn't alignment indicating at all. Remember C9++ #2?
He made about 4 posts withint 3 days if I recall correctly and ended up being town together with me.
The part that is worrying about Sandroba is that he really wants to play a perfect d1 as town and therefore wants to lynch into mafia no matter what, yet he came in here declaring that we should no lynch not even trying to talk about better alternatives. He could be lazy playind d3 right now bu I'd still say a lazy, d3 playing Sandro wouldn't suggest a NL out of nowhere.
Old Post

 
 marvellosity   United Kingdom. May 22 2012 23:55. Posts 11502
Profile # 
So I've PMed my masonee asking if I can reveal who he is.
I disagree with myself - kushm4sta
Old Post

 
 Zephirdd   Brazil. May 22 2012 23:55. Posts 4520
Profile Blog # 

Woah, calm down a little, please. He said that it's possible you took politician and are lying about it. He even said he doubted it was true. I agree with him completely. We have already seen something similar to this happen in this game with Sentinel. Are you really getting on zelblade simply for being careful?

My bad, I thought it was Barundar there, not zelblade. Seriously, I didn't mean to sound like that T_T
♥ The world needs more hearts! ♥
Old Post

 
 Misder   United States. May 22 2012 23:58. Posts 1018
Profile # 
I have a role, as implied by my previous post. I'm curious as to what role you think Barundar has actually, but I can wait til we finish claiming.
Whaaaa?
Old Post

 
 Mattchew   United States. May 23 2012 01:15. Posts 5120
Profile Blog # 

Qatol:
Do you think it is more valuable for the scum to bus their teammate than to use the JOAT's KP role and let the JOAT survive another day?

It completely depends if he really believed that sent could get lynched. If you read that from his posts, then he's town, if you don't then he's scum.
There is always tomorrow nshs.seal.
Old Post

 
 Snarfs   Canada. May 23 2012 01:36. Posts 764
Profile # 
I did believe I could get sent lynched and I do believe that I GOT sent lynched.

Also, I am marv's townie mason buddy. Sorry my position in queue wasn't higher.

Finally, I agree with Qatol's order of claiming. Misder has already claimed that he has a role, so slOosh should now too.
Old Post

 
 slOosh   May 23 2012 01:55. Posts 1921
Profile # 
Catching up on the latest posts. Will respond to Snarf's / Qatol's concerns afterwards. I do have a role.
Old Post

 
 marvellosity   United Kingdom. May 23 2012 02:02. Posts 11502
Profile # 
Confirming Snarfs


On May 19 2012 19:56 marvellosity wrote:
So Sentinel was the scum man. And Palmar attempted to go lone ranger. For god's sakes.

But all's well that ends well. Will read over the thread properly later, glad we got a good result.

I disagree with myself - kushm4sta
Old Post

 
 Snarfs   Canada. May 23 2012 02:10. Posts 764
Profile # 
Okay, to keep things moving, hiro protagonist should claim whether or not he has a role, then we can get to actual claims.
Old Post

 
 Misder   United States. May 23 2012 02:10. Posts 1018
Profile # 
hiro is the only one left to claim nilla/role.
Whaaaa?
Old Post

 
 Palmar   Iceland. May 23 2012 02:19. Posts 7607
Profile Blog # 
I'm a win at all costs player Qatol, I want to lynch sandroba for not putting any effort into the game after it actually started. That, to me, is a perfectly valid reason to lynch him.

I'm not being lazy, I'm being uncertain. It's not long since I had like 8 games in a row as town where I pushed hard for a mafia lynch on day one. I've not been on the wrong side of a mafia lynch for probably 10 months or something, not even mentioning the fact I actively pushed to kill someone who's very likely a townie over scum. I know most people don't care about that shit but when I commit to something I'm not used to being wrong. I hate it and it's making me question everything I had assumed in this game up until the point of failure.

We're ahead, sandroba is a legitimate target, and killing him off today gives me plenty of time to re-think about the game.
♥ http://www.iron-edge.co.uk ♥
Old Post

 
 hiro protagonist   May 23 2012 03:02. Posts 1029
Profile # 
Im up, with a hang over Im still building my case on zel, but I came in for the role claim plan:

I have a role.

In case anyone missed it, I was roleblocked.
"I guess if you climb enough off-widths, one of these days, your gonna get your knee stuck and shit your pants. Its just an odds thing really" -Jason Kruk
Old Post

 
 sandroba   Brazil. May 23 2012 03:02. Posts 3115
Profile # 
If you guys actually read my filter you realize I can't be mafia. I was the first to suggested the role claiming thing that finally net us sentinel for sure. I've read all filters from the players and I think hiro has the highest chance of being scum.
I also believe that marv should tell us who is his townie so we can narrow down the sk. There are plenty of claims already so claiming the rest is not going to hurt us that much.
Old Post

 
 sandroba   Brazil. May 23 2012 03:08. Posts 3115
Profile # 
Ok i missed a page of posting. Stop claiming not vanilla just claim your fucking role. We got only 2 people to catch roles dont really matter anymore.
Old Post

 
 Misder   United States. May 23 2012 03:10. Posts 1018
Profile # 
I'm roleblocker (obviously blocked Palmar N1 and hiro N2).

To SlOosh.
Whaaaa?
Old Post

 
 slOosh   May 23 2012 03:12. Posts 1921
Profile # 
slOosh's meta seems off
I was typing up a whole explanation but I realized it doesn't really help us find the anti-town players so I'll just say that my play here probably looks much more like my play in TL Mafia LI, where I was shot N1 as a blue suspect (due to thread presence drop). I'm always hungry for direction and am not really that confident in giving it myself in new situations (in LI it was due to the sheer size, this game is due to PYP aspect), thus the blatant sheeping on my town read. Nevertheless, I ease into games and as more time passes no doubt you will see more activity / discussion and whatnot from me.


Night Kills
N1: Talismania the witch and PaqMan (vanilla) died. There is 1 unaccounted KP, most likely explained by scum shooting the SK, as no one has claimed the shot, indicating that either Talismania did not use his power or chose not to give the potion after seeing the death list.
N2: Bluelightz died and Zephirdd claimed the second shot.

Conclusion: The last mafia knows the identity of the SK and will no doubt want him alive to help whittle down town numbers. There is no janitor in the game as N1 and N2 are the most optimal uses of it. Along those lines a copycat CPR is highly unlikely as the only way to attribute the lack of KP is that both scum and SK chose the same kill target two days in a row.

Additional side note: I don't think people have given Bluelight's case on Barundar as much consideration as it deserves. He is the role-cop and no doubt he would have utilized his check on someone he found suspicious, and a good portion of N1 discussions were centered around Barundar.


Role Claim
I am actually very eager to role claim. I will however hold back because of the tiered system, plus my claim is worth some discussion and would not like clashes / misdirection to occur in the thread.

At this point in the game, the unknowns are slOosh (me), Misder, Barundar and hiro's role claims. Everyone else has claimed something (whether they are lying or not is a different point).


Pre-edit: saw the thread and yea I guess I'll just claim in the next post I make.
Old Post

 
 sandroba   Brazil. May 23 2012 03:13. Posts 3115
Profile # 

On May 21 2012 06:17 sandroba wrote:
I'm going to post this here since the OP doesn't look like it's getting updated soon. Known info and deaths:

deconduo mafia CPR Dead day 1 by dayvig mattchew
risk.nuke Claimed Vigilante shot paqman
marvellosity Claimed Mason -> partner is townie who tried for politician
[UoN]Sentinel mafia JOAT Dead lynched day 1
Mattchew Dayvig shot deconduo
zelblade Claimed VT tried for JOAT
Bluelightz Dead rolecop
talismania Dead shot night1 Witch
Misder Roleblocker
PaqMan mafia vanilla shot by risk n1 (or lynched day2 =P)
slOosh
Toadesstern Claimed VT tried for mason
Barundar
Zephirdd Claimed VT tried for politician
hiro protagonist Claimed that has a role can't be politicain
Palmar Claimed Pardoner
Snarfs VT tried for politician
Qatol Jailer -> Jailed risk n1 modconfirmed
sandroba VT tried for mason
Probulous VT modkilled day1



Old Post

 
 hiro protagonist   May 23 2012 03:15. Posts 1029
Profile # 
Im the Doctor. I protected Qatol both nights.
"I guess if you climb enough off-widths, one of these days, your gonna get your knee stuck and shit your pants. Its just an odds thing really" -Jason Kruk
Old Post

 
 slOosh   May 23 2012 03:22. Posts 1921
Profile # 
I am the Parity Cop. I anticipated and checked Talismania N1.

I checked Palmar N2. Results: Same.

Conclusion: With SK having the probable role of politician, Palmar's pardoner (and therefore not godfather nor traitor) claim, and the inability for the framer to frame the self, combined with the high unlikeliness of the traitor (if one exists) 1 shot framing Palmar that exact moment, my check has really high fidelity. Therefore, Palmar is town.

Remarks: I was eager to claim because
1) My role choice would clear my name somewhat. Why would mafia choose parity cop. I guess SK might choose it to determine mafia team, but unlikely.
2) It would reveal an investigation on a known strong town vet (Palmar), helping us find the anti-town by process of elimination
3) No doubt I will now be considered as a potential hit target, which pressures the anti-town because while they want to kill roles that could really screw them over, they also want to keep potential mislynches alive, and no doubt I am one of them (maybe not this cycle but potential is there).
Old Post

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