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SSB-64 Mafia - Page 43

Forum Index > TL Mafia 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55
 
 Mister Saturn   Vatican City State. July 06 2012 07:30. Posts 155
Profile # 
s&b, we need to talk at some point tomorrow about this game. I plan to do a fresh readthrough of this game today, without the iGrok thing clouding my mind.

If you can (I know that you are probably busy considering you are at CERN), try to come onto IRC during US afternoon(#TLMafia on Quakenet). Or we can use the QT that I sent you in like the 2nd PM if that works better. But this delayed PM thing is really not working.
mmaaawww
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 HomerunBat   Oman. July 06 2012 07:31. Posts 114
Profile # 
off-topic, but after the game s&b I'm really curious what you are doing at CERN. It has to be nuts there right now.
*PING*
Old Post

 
 kingdedede   Kazakhstan. July 06 2012 07:32. Posts 80
Profile # 

On July 06 2012 07:31 HomerunBat wrote:
off-topic, but after the game s&b I'm really curious what you are doing at CERN. It has to be nuts there right now.

Agreed. You celebrating? :D
Old Post

 
 Mister Saturn   Vatican City State. July 06 2012 07:35. Posts 155
Profile # 

On July 06 2012 07:29 HomerunBat wrote:
@Mr. S

cephiro was right about the finger pointing. it starts and ends with the filters, if you really think I'm scum, make a case.

I have to say that your actions leading up to this deadline, are giving me doubts. I'm also trying to think of what Tali has done that has helped town.

I still think we lynch grush today. The one thing that has me convinced is that he kept calling cephiro scum after it was extremely clear that the scum kp was aimed at him. Afterwards, he said something along the lines of it being an elaborate scum conspiracy.


Hm, this is true. idk, I really need to read this entire thread again. I'll give out my thoughts again tonight.

If you are town, please consider the fact that I just might be town... I know my play has been weird and pretty bad this game but that doesn't make me scum.


If we lynch grush today and he turns out to be town, we still don't lose, right? Cephiro and we can both shoot talismania tonight and we can still win by getting HomerunBat right after?

- Hiro
mmaaawww
Old Post

 
 HomerunBat   Oman. July 06 2012 07:37. Posts 114
Profile # 
If grush flips town, its 3 town on 2 scum
*PING*
Old Post

 
 Cephiro   Finland. July 06 2012 07:43. Posts 662
Profile # 
Off to sleep, I just simply can't keep my eyes open anymore. I'm going to be slightly busy tomorrow but I'll try to join in the discussion whenever I can.
Old Post

 
 talismania   United States. July 06 2012 08:05. Posts 2364
Profile Blog # 

On July 06 2012 07:22 Mister Saturn wrote:
grush must have forgot to send a PM. And I really don't think he's scum. Is the fact that he hit the same person that scum did, weird? Yes. But I don't see why as scum, he would either reveal the fact that both Cephiro and I were Samus (town has no way of knowing that kind of info without grush saying it and scum would want to keep that kind of information private so they can plan their night hits) and the fact that he would actually claim his hit as scum just seems ridiculous to me.

S&B, you have talismania as your strongest scum read also, right? I think we should lynch him today and shoot him at night. HomerunBat is probably the other scum. If we're wrong, we can always lynch grush.


What do people actually think of this plan?

my vote isn't leaving grush and I don't think anyone else's should either but I'm very curious about reactions to this idea.



Old Post

 
 HiroPro   United States. July 06 2012 13:33. Posts 2151
Profile # 
Man this game is so fucked up. I can't even figure out grush at this point... I'm going to talk to s&b tomorrow before I decide what to do.

The chances of an independent shot being the same as the mafia shot is pretty low... It's weird as hell for a scum player to reveal that they made a shot like that but it's also really strange from a town perspective to shoot someone who you didn't even mention the day before (especially when there's two people who you called scum available to shoot).

And connections are so shit to use when you don't have dead scum to make them off... But with grush, I have literally no other way to figure out his alignment, lol. I just don't see a scum team that grush could be part of (talismania+grush is laughable (2 scum up for lynch on day 1, lol? not to mention grush voting for talis), HrB was a fairly key vote in grush being lynched), the other combos are also pretty lolworthy. So what the hell is grush....
Old Post

 
 Mister Saturn   Vatican City State. July 06 2012 13:33. Posts 155
Profile # 
O_O I don't want to lose 0.1 stock

+ Show Spoiler +
mmaaawww
Old Post

 
 kingdedede   Kazakhstan. July 06 2012 18:59. Posts 80
Profile # 
I'm getting a bit paranoid here. I think Grush is probably scum, but his behaviour is pretty off the wall. From his filter, his partner could be anybody. Saturn seems the most likely candidate, but even that is not certain.

If Grush is scum, we don't want him getting his second Capt. Falcon shot off, so I think lynching him is still the best bet. I think it's best to kill the strongest scumread at the moment, especially as nobody else will even give a flip, so we won't even know for sure what we did.

My main paranoia is about Grush NOT being scum. I just can't figure out a scumteam then. Tali is almost certainly scum in that situation, maybe with Saturn. If that's the case then we still have a chance lynching Grush, but we may be better off lynching Tali now before he donkey kongs one of us, and leaving Grush with a Capt. Falcon shot alive. Crap :S

I don't want to out-wifom myself. Lets lynch Grush. iGrok seemed to know what he was doing, even if he wasn't very pleasant about it. Everything else just seems like it's too big a risk.
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 HomerunBat   Oman. July 06 2012 21:14. Posts 114
Profile # 
Cephiro, do you think grush is scum? If so, who do you think is his partner, and why?

If he flips town, where would you be looking?
*PING*
Old Post

 
 HomerunBat   Oman. July 06 2012 21:16. Posts 114
Profile # 
because so far all you've done this game is tunnel Risen.
*PING*
Old Post

 
 Mister Saturn   Vatican City State. July 06 2012 23:21. Posts 155
Profile # 
Hm, on a second read-through, the grush-talismania team isn't actually that implausible, considering the amount of thread influence those two had.

I should still talk with s&b, though.
mmaaawww
Old Post

 
 HomerunBat   Oman. July 07 2012 00:18. Posts 114
Profile # 

On July 05 2012 10:42 grush57 wrote:
CALLED YOU SCUM OUT NOW THREAD DEAD. EASY TOWN LYNCHED D2 GG SCUM WINS. AND UR ALL LETTING IT HAPPEN


He is 100% correct.

I think this is the scum team: Cephiro & Talismania

Let's start with Cephiro. He is a town read to a lot of people. Why? He shit up the thread right off the bat arguing with Risen, and then tunneled him for the rest of the game. He buddied up to iGrok. These posts rang alarm bells for me the first time I read through them:
+ Show Spoiler +
+ Show Spoiler +

The ranks are just strange. He uses a lot of words to point out tiny things he doesn't like about each person. Risen is the only person he really goes after hard...but he really doesn't describe anything scummy about him. All his accusations look to me like he is accusing Risen of bad play, not being scum.

This is really the extent of his scum hunting, outside of tunneling Risen like a boss. I really don't get the sense he is going after the town win-condition.

Let's look at the reasoning using his ranks. The highest numbers should lose stock first, continuing on down to the lower numbers. He has Risen first, and as I already explained, his accusations are pretty bad. Following Risen he has grush, a lurker. Following that he has me, because I am polite and I decided I would lynch talismania. Read those three paragraphs, his three top reads, and take note of how phony sounding the accusations are.

Now let's go to the reason why he has been basically auto-towned...the NK. This is important. There are perfectly logical reasons for scum Cephiro to aim the NK at himself. Dedede read him as town, so Cephiro knew that as a townie looking Samus, there was a good chance that dedede would choose to protect him via bus. Even if he didn't, the NK only removes one stock, which would absolutely be worth the massive town cred it got him. This does not add or subtract to the case against him. The important thing here is that the NK aimed at Cephiro is a null point. There are logical, valid reasons for it be he town or scum.

Without that NK stuff, there is just his filter, and the filter looks pretty bad imo.

On to Talismania.

It's a lot of the same. He has been very passive. He shit up the thread with set-up speculation. He buddied up to iGrok with the 'translation' post. He also disobeyed his own 'call to action.'
+ Show Spoiler +
+ Show Spoiler +

I don't see conviction, I see going with the flow. This following post is really the only independent scum-hunting I could find from him:
+ Show Spoiler +

He calls 2 of his own points weak, and then essentially invalidates his own argument at the end by declaring that he can't be sure because there is nobody that makes sense for his partner.

Here's his 'call to action':

Call to action:
+ Show Spoiler +
Did anybody see the follow-through for this? It's just like a broken promise, he didn't answer his own call to action.

Lastly, this of course means I think grush57 is town. If you assume Cephiro is scum, grush's actions make sense.

I feel good about these reads, but I'm more sure on Talismania, so that's the direction I want to go today. Get your votes off grush57 and on to Talismania.

##unvote
##vote: Talismania

*PING*
Old Post

 
 HomerunBat   Oman. July 07 2012 00:24. Posts 114
Profile # 
Also, to emphasize the importance of not killing a town grush today...

grush dies-> 3 town vs. 2 scum-> scum Cephiro shoots Saturn+ NK

Saturn dies

2 town vs 2 scum=GG
*PING*
Old Post

 
 talismania   United States. July 07 2012 01:17. Posts 2364
Profile Blog # 
Good lord. I'm town y'all. More when I'm off my phone.
Old Post

 
 grush57   Korea (South). July 07 2012 01:44. Posts 2533
Profile # 
I'm more sure of Ceph being scum.
"Every thing is either simply awful or awfully simple." | "Weaklings can't pick... their way of death."
Old Post

 
 s0Lstice   United States. July 07 2012 01:44. Posts 935
Profile # 
who is the other one grush?
how if I seem like fox b Lynch I not inspire hippie--Blazinghand
Old Post

 
 HomerunBat   Oman. July 07 2012 01:45. Posts 114
Profile # 
dammit, sorry
*PING*
Old Post

 
 grush57   Korea (South). July 07 2012 01:52. Posts 2533
Profile # 
Either kingdede or Talismania.
"Every thing is either simply awful or awfully simple." | "Weaklings can't pick... their way of death."
Old Post

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