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| Kleinmuuhg Vanuatu. August 20 2012 17:01. Posts 1837 | Profile Blog # |
PLAYOFF SCENARIOS
Playoffs:
1.Khan
2.CJ
3. T8
4. SKT
Update 25st:
thanks GTR
On August 25 2012 22:21 GTR wrote:
Show nested quote +On August 25 2012 19:45 Ciryandor wrote:
Update please? As far as I get it, with the results from today; Khan secures 1st, CJ is nearly guaranteed in, and T8 will drop down to 3rd.
all three are guaranteed in their current positions. it's a battle for fourth between woongjin/stx/skt.
Show nested quote +If Stars > KT; SKT > Ace, then SKT gets it
If Stars > KT; Ace > SKT, then Stars gets it
If KT > Stars; SKT > Ace, then SKT gets it
If KT > Stars; Ace > SKT, then STX gets it
Update 23rd: KespA players will not be attending MLG.
Updated 21st: KT is out. This is good news for SKT fans: If KT > Stars and CJ/STX is a stomp, than a close loss to ACE could be enough for a playoff spot.
Star fans can rejoice as well, as KT will most likely not be as motivated in their next match as they would have been if their playoff chances still existed. That's the same reason Khan fans should be angry at the KT crew. If Khan loses , SKT > Ace and Stars > KT, Khan is out!
STX/CJ: Pretty much the same situation: The winner still goes through. The loser now wont have to fear KT, but either Stars>KT or SKT> Ace means they're out.
Standings/Chances by 20th:
+ Show Spoiler +
Team 8 : If they win vs Khan they secure first spot. If they lose Khan gets first and Depending on how bad they lose and the the match between STX/CJ they will most likely get third place. T8 0:4 Khan and SKT vs ACE 4:0 would mean T8 would be fourth.
Conclusion: A close loss against Khan would secure third and give good chances for second.
Khan: If they win vs Team 8 they will take first place due to their map score. If they lose however, they could still drop out, because winner of CJ/STX will get second and if SKT > Ace (likely) SKT gets third and WJ > KT would get fourth.
STX: Winning against CJ would get them to second (T8 >Khan, allthough if the win 0:2, 2:1 , 1:0 , and SKT wins 4:0 , SKT would get second), or most likely third (Khan>T8), but there are a lot of possibilietes due to mapscores. Win = playoff spot secured, though no chance on first place. Losing : T8 , Khan and CJ will be 1-3 , and if either SKT > Ace OR WJ > KT , STX would drop out. if ACE > SKT and KT wins both matches, they would be out as well.
CJ : Basically the same as STX.
SKT: This will be close. If they lose vs ACE, they're out unless they lose close, CJ/STX loses high , , KT < ACE, WJ < KT. So yeah, they should win. If they win , they could get up to second if they win really high , T8>Khan , Stx/Cj is close . Most likely though is that they will get third with (T8>Khan) t8 and CJ/StX being 1/2 or fourth (Khan > T8 ) with KHan , T8, and CJ/STX being 1-3
Conclusion: Win = playoff spot secured (2/3) Lose = Map score decides, this will be pretty damn close!
Stars: must win against Kt, but since Kt is out, maybe they wont be as hard of an opponent now. If they lose, they're out. If they win , due to their good map score, they will get ahead of loser of cj/stx and than either T8>Khan or Ace > SKT would be enough for them to secure 4. If both hapens, they could even get third!
KT: The funny thing is, its not even that unlikely. The only real difficulty is that, Ace has to win against SKT.
KT needs 2 wins against Stars and ACE and that should be enugh for fourth place. Because the 1 match lost for the loser of cj/stx and 2 matches won for Kt should be enough for 4/5 maps difference in map score. SHOULD :D
Next Matches:
For fun 
Most likely scenario: (busted)
+ Show Spoiler +
KT > ACE, STX > CJ (or switched), T8 > KHAN (no chance fanboys), Stars> KT, SKT > ACE
=
1. Team 8
2. STX (CJ)
3. SKT
4. Stars
Yes Khan and CJ (STX) are out , bam!
Most unlikely scenario: (still possible)
+ Show Spoiler +
KT < ACE, STX < CJ (or switched), T8 < KHAN (lol yeah right), Stars < KT, SKT < ACE
=
1.Khan
2.T8 (because it was a close loss)
3.CJ (STX)
4. SKT
STX (CJ) , Fourth place decided by map, will be damnn close
On August 20 2012 21:38 fuzzylogic44 wrote:
MLG Raleigh is during the weekend of 25t-26th, and it is widely assumed the 8 unannounced invites will be kespa players. That could affect things if so.
I will keep this thread updated as the matches progress. Last edit: 2012-08-26 17:44:09 |
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| sharkie Austria. August 20 2012 17:05. Posts 2181 | Profile Blog # |
Doesn't this mean if KT needs an Ace match vs Ace then they are out already?
Since they probably can't make up in differentials anymore. |
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| ReketSomething United States. August 20 2012 17:05. Posts 4017 | Profile Blog # | |
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| Kleinmuuhg Vanuatu. August 20 2012 17:07. Posts 1837 | Profile Blog # |
On August 20 2012 17:05 sharkie wrote:
Doesn't this mean if KT needs an Ace match vs Ace then they are out already?
Since they probably can't make up in differentials anymore.
well if STX/Cj loses 0:4 for example, KT has to get +1 map score in 2 matches, thats very possible , even with aces matches.
The worst win you could get is 0:2 , 2:1 and 1:0 , which would be +-0 , but that shouldnt happen in both games! |
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| NicksonReyes Philippines. August 20 2012 17:09. Posts 3582 | Profile Blog # |
SKT pwns ACE most of the time and KT loses to ACE most of the time. KT has like 10% chance of making it in. I'm satisfied with T8 winning this season, but if KT could again pull off a miracle here, then why not?
I want T8, Khan, STX and Stars in the play-offs, because KT and SKT had their fun, and CJ sucks post-season.Last edit: 2012-08-20 17:37:53 |
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| figq August 20 2012 17:16. Posts 9667 | Profile Blog # |
Best scenario for Stars fans is we beat KT, T8 > Khan (hopefully!) and CJ lose to STX and so CJ barely miss playoffs. Would be the sweetest revenge for what they did to us last season. /evilzerogrin
Also, cheer for ACE to beat KT, so that KT lose any desire to beat us. :-p~~
In general, funny enough, ACE will get massive cheering support from all kinds of other team fans for their last matches.  That's the way to go out in style - deny a colossal team like KT or/and SKT a place in playoffs. ACE legacy complete.Last edit: 2012-08-20 17:31:27 |
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 GTR August 20 2012 17:20. Posts 39113 | Profile Blog # |
| As long as both KT and SKT don't make it, while CJ do, I'm happy! |
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| bgx Poland. August 20 2012 17:20. Posts 6517 | Profile # |
Damn KHAN still needs to win this 
And Stork can't play SC2 ahhhh :o JangBi save us !Last edit: 2012-08-20 17:20:47 |
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| Lucumo August 20 2012 17:32. Posts 4486 | Profile # |
| No KT and SKT while T8 first place would be so awesome. Go Go, make it happen! |
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| zaii Guam. August 20 2012 17:47. Posts 2423 | Profile # |
On August 20 2012 17:20 GTR wrote:
As long as both KT and SKT don't make it, while CJ do, I'm happy!
man you must be pissed or nervous at today's results/games |
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| chuDr3t4 Russian Federation. August 20 2012 18:08. Posts 263 | Profile # |
Was there any announcement or news about Play-Off format?
Will BW-SC2 alternation for players be in? Will it reset after every Bo3 series or not reset at all? |
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| ProxyKnoxy United Kingdom. August 20 2012 18:14. Posts 2543 | Profile # |
Come on KT!!!!! and I hope the last BW games will be on the 26th when both KT and SKT1 play. Flash/Bisu/Fantasy would play BW for the last time, instead of random cheeses in playoffs/finals. a shame that it's very unlikely for skt1 to lose vs ace...
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| Iplaythings Denmark. August 20 2012 18:23. Posts 7085 | Profile Blog # |
KAY TEE HWAITING
Come on, I want KT in it soo badly :<
KT vs t8 / Khan finals would be so awesome |
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| MyFirstProbe Netherlands. August 20 2012 18:43. Posts 267 | Profile # |
Hoping for a KT vs T8 finals with a flash vs. Jaedong ace match  |
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| glzElectromaster Japan. August 20 2012 18:46. Posts 1442 | Profile Blog # | |
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| 8mmspikes United States. August 20 2012 19:32. Posts 1411 | Profile # |
| I want T8, Khan, CJ and SKT in playoffs, with T8 in first of course that would be the most exciting set of teams I feel! |
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| Le French France. August 20 2012 19:36. Posts 782 | Profile # |
| PL going out with a bang. Would be really funny if ACE manages to screw up the rankings by winning all its remaining games. |
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| M2 Bulgaria. August 20 2012 19:50. Posts 1904 | Profile # |
| Offtopic playoffs question: What is the games format? How many BW and SC2 matches and what about the rule of people not allowed to play twice in a row in one of the games BW/SC2? How does it transfers if there is a 3rd match required and does it transfer to your next opponent? What about the 1st placer/the finalist, are there any restrictions ? |
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| Frankon August 20 2012 20:00. Posts 2954 | Profile # |
On August 20 2012 19:50 M2 wrote:
Offtopic playoffs question: What is the games format? How many BW and SC2 matches and what about the rule of people not allowed to play twice in a row in one of the games BW/SC2? How does it transfers if there is a 3rd match required and does it transfer to your next opponent? What about the 1st placer/the finalist, are there any restrictions ?
Rather important questions.
If they keep the current system for the play-offs the team directly seeded into final would have a rather big advantage. |
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| MrChupee Australia. August 20 2012 20:07. Posts 161 | Profile # |
The hope lives on, I now pray for my 10 minute heroes in Air Force ACE...
Return God to his rightful place! (no, not losing two matches in a PL final ;_; , the other one) |
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