by WaxangelTonight will be the end of the road for one of this year's two GSTL champions.
Prime, winners of Season One, go up against Season Two winners
FXOpen in an all or nothing, elimination match for a spot in the playoffs. Neither team has looked quite championship caliber this season, both only capable of defeating whipping boys Fnatic RC while losing games to Team Swarm Life. Now, both redemption and survival are on the line.
Both teams have decided to skip the feeling out process and are opening strong, deploying some of their best players as point men. For Prime,

Creator might actually be their best player if you look at how he's playing lately. While

MarineKing dropped off from championship form, Creator went off and won TSL4 and WCS Korea, establishing himself as a top Protoss player. This season he's shaken off his GSL jinx and made it into the Code S Ro16, finally making up some ground on fellow youth movement leaders, Life and TaeJa.
On the other hand, we definitely know where

Gumiho stands in the FXO hierarchy. #1 belongs to Leenock, #3 belongs to... somebody. But #2 belongs to Gumiho, a talented but inconsistent Terran who possesses the kind of streakiness to be a huge force in the GSTL. While he's had trouble making headway in the GSL (he's a lock to make the Ro32, but further progress has been difficult), he's always going to be an all-kill threat in the GSTL, as SlayerS learned in the last season's grand finals.
This should be an amazing match-up of styles. Gumiho is a berserker: He attacks relentlessly and without fear, sacrificing finesse for speed and strength. He's willing let allow himself to get wounded, as long as he can deal his opponent a killing blow. In contrast, Creator is a monolith, a player who plays with the patience and solidity of a mountain that has stood for eons. Every blow seems to glance off of him, while he himself attacks with the crushing, blunt force of a boulder.
Like all good players, both Gumiho and Creator know how to change things up every now and then, and we may see Creator go for an all-in or some other unusual pattern. But IF they do play the styles they are most famous for, this should be a really great game.
FXO: The Big Three and the CommitteeAs is the trend with many GSTL teams, FXO is very flexible about how they deploy their players. There are just two locks on FXO's line-up: Gumiho and Leenock. Since we've talked about
GuMiho above, we'll move on to
Leenock.We've been raving about Leenock's skills pretty often as of late, but we aren't so tired that we can't do it one more time. Leenock has gone from being an incredibly smart, aggressive player, to being an incredibly smart,
complete player. He has even MORE of the early-mid game weapons that were his trademark in 2011, and he's topped it off by mastering the turtle-hive play that everyone despises. In terms of pure depth of playbook, he's actually outdoing Life right now. You'd think Leenock would have a monopoly on the ace spot, but FXO has been comfortable playing Leenock at any position in the line-up.
It actually should be three locks on the team, as we're big believers in
Tear. Tear's clutch performances in GSTL Season Two were instrumental in winning his team the championship, especially his three-kill over Startale. If I had to describe his style in brief, I would say he's a more efficient HerO – capable of similar micro tricks and harassment, but not as wasteful as the Liquid player who often seems to force things just because he wants something to do.
However, FXO hasn't shown full faith in Tear just yet, and he's not always a lock to play. Maybe he isn't as consistent behind closed doors as he is when he's in the GomTV booth? In any case, in a big match like this, it's hard to think he wouldn't be deployed at some point.
Compared to their three 'lock' players, FXO's bench can't help but look awfully weak at first glance. For the last two spots, they're forced to use some combination of
Lucky,
TheBest,
JKS,
Choya,
asd,
Sirius,
Whale, or
Tree: not the most confidence inspiring list of names. However, despite the lack of name value, FXO's bench has actually done a surprisingly decent job. Lucky and TheBest might have lost their GSL relevance in 2012, but they mysteriously find ways to chip in with a win or two. Batting slightly under .500 is entirely fine for FXO's bench players, as breaking even gives their big three more than a fair chance to take care of the rest.
Prime: Looking for the Fifth ManIf Prime were a rock band, they'd have a solid four-man core.
MarineKing is the lead singer and front man,
Creator keeps everyone steady on drums,
MaruPrime brings flair on guitar, and
ByuN plays bass because bassists are integral but under-appreciated except by weird fans. They're perfectly functional as a four man unit – in fact, they're actually rather good. However, they could really use a solid fifth member to take them over the top.
For a while, they had a very adequate fifth man in keyboardist
BBoongBBoongPrime. However, B4 recently left the team to record a solo album, and Prime will have trouble filling that spot. While B4 was under-appreciated during his time on Prime, you really notice the void he leaves now that he's gone. While he wasn't a stand out star, B4 could carry his sections reasonably well, and added reasonably good Zerg play that rounded out the roster.
Prime has auditioned two replacements so far:
ClassicPrime and
Terius. Classic showed us some nice tricks by all-inning and cannon rushing in his games, which was enough to earn him two wins against TSL's Ragnarok and Revival. While he didn't show that he could do anything else, one win is already more than enough to ask from a fifth man (TAiLS has earned a spot on MVP's roster in that kind of role). In Terius' case, he won a more impressive victory by taking out Fnatic RC's ace aLive, but in all honesty it was a disaster of a match.
It's likely that both of them will be prepared for action, depending on specific map/race sniping scenarios. And even besides those two, even

Salmosa might be waiting in the wings, ready to bust out with a saxophone solo that instantly earns him a starting spot.
Overall outlook and predictionWith two powerful players coming out first, there's the chance the winner of the first match will get hot, and go on a series swinging win-streak. What will be interesting to see is the reaction of the losing team: do they go to their bench and use a sniper? Or do they immediately follow-up with one of their better players to prevent the opposing team's point man from getting hot?
I'd like to think that snipers off the bench have a good chance at having a big impact, as they've been performing pretty well as of late. That factors in slightly in Prime's favor, as they could probably deal with something like, say, TheBest beating ByuN in a TvT, while FXO can't afford for Gumiho, Tear, or Leenock to lose to Classic or Terius.
This being an all-kill format match, the strength of each team's best player is crucial as well. In that department, FXO has a big edge in Leenock, who is absolutely on fire lately. Life is the only player you could say is definitely better than him, and many would pencil in Leenock as the second best player in the world. Maru, MKP, and ByuN are all good players, but they're hard pressed to beat Leenock in his current form.
For Prime, I think it all comes down to Creator. I think he is Prime's best player right now, and is a player who is capable of great things in the GSL. He's finally started to realize his potential, and could be Prime's best answer to Leenock.
In the end, I think FXO is favored by a small margin as they have the best player on either side. Prime could win if their risk of using Creator first pays off, but it could backfire on them hard as well.
FXOpen 5 – 4 Prime