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[spoiler] ELO Peaks - Page 11

Forum Index > Brood War 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57
  Atrioc   Korea (South). February 22 2009 15:29. Posts 1644Profile Blog # 
lol its just more points for jaedong to take
man what
Old Post

 
 neobowman   Canada. February 22 2009 15:48. Posts 2862
Profile Blog # 

On February 18 2009 02:47 Jyvblamo wrote:

Show nested quote +


Once again, inflation explains all. :D


How does inflation affect elo ratings? Just wondering.
Mapper on hiatus and the original creator of the Space Shark. Fan of StabbyStabby
Old Post

 
 Guss   Sweden. February 22 2009 15:51. Posts 701
Profile Blog # 
more players. more points. more games making it so that if ur good u can peak higher.
Last edit: 2009-02-22 15:52:01
Bisu[Shield] FIGHTING!
Old Post

 
 Jayme   United States. February 22 2009 15:53. Posts 4924
Profile Blog # 

On February 22 2009 15:48 neobowman wrote:

Show nested quote +



How does inflation affect elo ratings? Just wondering.



ELO always inflates. As more players join the pool the bellcurve shifts to the right. The shift causes more players to have higher ratings which cause the top end ELO to get higher and higher and higher.
Python is garbage, number 1 advocate of getting rid of it.
Old Post

 
 Kyuukyuu   Canada. February 22 2009 15:58. Posts 5472
Profile Blog # 

On February 22 2009 15:53 Jayme wrote:

Show nested quote +




ELO always inflates. As more players join the pool the bellcurve shifts to the right. The shift causes more players to have higher ratings which cause the top end ELO to get higher and higher and higher.



tl;dr: oov was a fucking beast
less QQ more pew pew // Jaedong, Hiya, Backho, Killer, Free, Zero, SoulKey. "if ZerO gets onto 4 gas the game automatically becomes great"
Old Post

  BanZu   United States. February 22 2009 15:58. Posts 3329Profile Blog # 

On February 22 2009 15:24 lxginverse wrote:
as much as i dont want bisu to surpass flash's elo

it looks like he will....

T_T

Why would you wish something bad against another player? Is Bisu really that bad? Or are you all just immature grudge holders? I just don't get what could make someone hate a player so much. I mean, I dislike certain players a lot but I don't say things or wish things against them.
Sun Tzu once said, "Defiler becomes useless at the presences of a vessel."
Old Post

 
 huameng   United States. February 22 2009 16:09. Posts 1133
Profile Blog # 
You don't dislike players enough to want them to lose? It's not like he wants Bisu to get hit by a car, man. I personally want Flash to keep the ELO peak too. It's nothing against Bisu specifically, I don't want anyone to pass him.
skating
Old Post

 
 Signet   United States. February 22 2009 16:11. Posts 1664
Profile # 
Or he could be a flash fan who wants his favorite player to have #1 elo peak :shrug:
Old Post

 
 Signet   United States. February 22 2009 16:17. Posts 1664
Profile # 
Oh shit! I missed the early games tonight, didn't know + Show Spoiler +
Old Post

 
 eshlow   United States. February 22 2009 16:20. Posts 5013
Profile # 

On February 22 2009 15:53 Jayme wrote:

Show nested quote +




ELO always inflates. As more players join the pool the bellcurve shifts to the right. The shift causes more players to have higher ratings which cause the top end ELO to get higher and higher and higher.



That's not always true.

In chess there is actually the tendency to deflate some when people's ratings are higher than their actual skill b/c of both rating ceilings & the deterioration of ability due to old age.

USCF is inflating.. slowly.. because of countermeasures they took against deflation. Uh, well, here's the wiki on ELO that will help explain:


The most straightforward attempt to avoid rating inflation/deflation is to have each game end in an equal transaction of rating points. If the winner gains N rating points, the loser should drop by N rating points. The intent is to keep the average rating constant, by preventing points from entering or leaving the system.

Unfortunately, this simple approach typically results in rating deflation, as the USCF was quick to discover.

A common misconception is that rating points enter the system every time a previously unrated player gets an initial rating and that likewise rating points leave the system every time someone retires from play. Players generally believe that since most players are significantly better at the end of their careers than at the beginning, that as they tend to take more points away from the system than they brought in, the system deflates as a result. This is a fallacy and is easily shown. If a system is deflated, players will have strengths higher than their ratings. But if they take points out of the system EQUAL TO their strength when they leave the system, no inflation or deflation will result.

Rather, in the "basic form" of the Elo system, the cause of deflation is the fact that players improve. The cause of inflation is that their strength relative to their rating will tend to decline over time with age. Since most players improve early in their career, the system tends to deflate at that time. Inflation doesn't occur until much later in a player's career. Many players will quit before this natural process occurs, which would return points to the system. The net result over time is deflation.
Last edit: 2009-02-22 16:22:12
Overcoming Gravity: A Systematic Approach to Gymnastics and Bodyweight Strength
Old Post

 
 Carefree   United States. February 22 2009 17:40. Posts 1456
Profile Blog # 
I am so proud of my boy + Show Spoiler +.
DebOnAire - 「 Bisu[Shield] 」
Old Post

 
 Adamthegreat   Sweden. February 22 2009 17:43. Posts 1179
Profile # 

On February 22 2009 16:17 Signet wrote:
Oh shit! I missed the early games tonight, didn't know + Show Spoiler +


He plays Movie in WL on the 24th I think.
-_-v
Old Post

 
 writer22816   China. February 22 2009 18:27. Posts 4772
Profile Blog # 

On February 22 2009 17:43 Adamthegreat wrote:

He plays Movie in WL on the 24th I think.


Here's to Movie pulling a Guemchi and beating bisu with dts. Oh the irony. Can't have a scumbag like bisu holding the #1 elo peak!
Last edit: 2009-02-22 18:28:15
8/4/12 never forget, never forgive.
Old Post

 
 Aurioch   United States. February 22 2009 18:31. Posts 414
Profile # 

On February 22 2009 18:27 writer22816 wrote:

Show nested quote +



Here's to Movie pulling a Guemchi and beating bisu with dts. Oh the irony. Can't have a scumbag like bisu holding the #1 elo peak!

You sound more like the scumbag you make Bisu out of...
My life for aiur
Old Post

 
 Mista   Singapore. February 22 2009 18:32. Posts 1022
Profile # 

On February 22 2009 18:27 writer22816 wrote:

Show nested quote +



Here's to Movie pulling a Guemchi and beating bisu with dts. Oh the irony. Can't have a scumbag like bisu holding the #1 elo peak!


You're the scumbag retard.
Time for some Revolution !
Old Post

 
 hubfub   Australia. February 22 2009 18:33. Posts 335
Profile Blog # 
GO BISU DO IT!!!
 
Old Post

 
 traced   February 22 2009 20:24. Posts 1714
Profile # 

On February 22 2009 15:29 Atrioc wrote:
lol its just more points for jaedong to take

speaking of which, is this showmatch kespa ranked? i'd guess no...
Old Post

 
 FirstBorn   Romania. February 22 2009 20:26. Posts 3948
Profile Blog # 
I think Kepsa started to take game played in the GOM Starleague into account. It might take the showmatch into account too.
SonuvBob: Yes, the majority of TL is college-aged, and thus clearly stupid.
Old Post

 
 gravity   Australia. February 22 2009 20:31. Posts 1626
Profile # 

On February 22 2009 15:53 Jayme wrote:

Show nested quote +




ELO always inflates. As more players join the pool the bellcurve shifts to the right. The shift causes more players to have higher ratings which cause the top end ELO to get higher and higher and higher.


No it doesn't - new players always add 2000 points, so the points available per player doesn't change (except for some small effect due the retirements, which can be either inflation or deflation depending if players, on average, retire with more or less than 2000 points).

More games in a short time (like with strong players in WL) probably does lead to somewhat higher peaks though, since you get more games in when you're in a good state and playing above your rating.
Last edit: 2009-02-22 20:33:36
Old Post

  disciple       Administrator       February 22 2009 20:44.Profile Blog # 

On February 22 2009 15:53 Jayme wrote:

Show nested quote +




ELO always inflates. As more players join the pool the bellcurve shifts to the right. The shift causes more players to have higher ratings which cause the top end ELO to get higher and higher and higher.


Thats right, the ELO inflates. Take a look at the chess, it took about 50 years to feel the difference. This process needs decades to kick in. The inflation between NaDa's and Bisu's ELO is most likely around 2-3 points.
When you play the game of drones you win or you die.
Old Post

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