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Germany / USA16648 Posts
So, Lecaf beat MBC 4-2 and will face Samsung in the finals of round 1!
Maps have been announce, but players have not. I'm guessing they will be sometime in the next 1-3 days (at least that's how it was in playoffs).
I though it would be fun to speculate a bit on the lineups, here are the maps:
Game 1 @ Nemesis Game 2 @ Geometry Game 3 @ Vampire Game 4 @ Monty Hall Game 5 @ Sin Peaks of Baekdu Game 6 @ Chariots of Fire Game 7 @ Tau Cross
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I just hope for less mirror match up's. ;;
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There will be a lot of mirrors given the maps.
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Melbourne5338 Posts
No python
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I think its 100% that samsung will play FBH, but as for the rest, I have no clue.
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samsung vs lecaf
jangbi vs backho @ Nemesis
PvP because its nemesis. samsung will save stork for monty hall since he is so good on it, and lecaf will likely try to counter him with anytime, thus we'll see a pvp between the lesser protosses of each team.
FBH vs forGG @ Geometry
TvT because its geometry
jihyun/cuteboy vs Shinwa/Dongrae @ Vampire
z/t teams have proven to dominate vampire and both teams happen to have very good z/t 2v2 teams.
stork vs anytime @ Monty Hall
i explained it already.
jju vs jaedong @ Sin Peaks of Baekdu
the best players on each team that are not locked into playing a specific map because of the racial domination on it. unfortunately they're both zerg
tt/siga vs Bright[z-zone]/N.aCe)Ever @ Chariots of Fire
z/p has proven to be the best combination to play on chariots and both teams happen to have very good z/p teams.
stork/fbh vs anytime/forgg @ Tau Cross
i think its likely we'll see the winner from the previous stork vs anytime game against the other player listed. actually i think lecaf will probably play anytime no matter the outcome since hes their most capable player by far i think (at least against all races). samsung will send out stork if he beats anytime on monty, or fbh if he fails to do so.
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wow. i knew i should have voted for lecaf instead of dodging =|
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Germany / USA16648 Posts
Nice post SMB, I agree with a lot of what you said, some thoughts though:
Nemesis/Monty Hall: I have been asking myself who is better off with both Monty and Nemesis being in the lineup of the non-ace-match maps, because neither of them really has a 2nd player who can be reasonably sure to win his game there, only Stork for Samsung and Anytime for Lecaf, that's it. The others are pretty much wild cards.
Geometry: TvT is a given, which forces FBH vs fOrGG, nothing to add.
Peaks: Jaedong is basically a given, I can't imagine Jaedong being sent out on any of the other maps..., for Samsung it's a little harder, other than Jju I think Frozean might be a reasonable choice.
2v2 games: you already correctly named the teams that have been used the most (and have been the most successful) for both teams on both maps, nothing to add here.
Tau Cross (ace): I'd really like to add Jaedong as a possibility here, he has been just as good as Anytime throughout this season (1 more win than Anytime actually) and most importantly he is undefeated on Tau Cross in official games during his entire career (8-0 stats with today's game vs Light), so he definitely is a viable choice. Also Anytime has been doing really bad vs Terran in PL (1-4 stats) and considering he may have to face FBH if he is sent out..., I am by no means saying that he would have really bad odds to beat FBH, but still.
Last but not least I think it's important (and sad in a way) to realize how 50% of the maps that are being used this season (Monty, Nemesis, Geometry) have been forcing a lot of mirrors (Monty to a lesser extent, as there have been a lot of PvT games on it, but neither team has a competent Terran other than FBH and fOrGG). This forces the best players of their races into being sent out on certain maps and then as a coach you have to somehow try to fill remaining maps with your often lesser players. This is much more evident in playoffs/finals obviously, because there are only 3 previously set 1v1 games during the season, as opposed to the 4 set games in playoffs/finals. And it's too late to start experimenting now, you do not experiment in finals, that's what the early season is for.
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On July 28 2007 07:27 SoMuchBetter wrote: samsung vs lecaf
jangbi vs backho @ Nemesis
PvP because its nemesis. samsung will save stork for monty hall since he is so good on it, and lecaf will likely try to counter him with anytime, thus we'll see a pvp between the lesser protosses of each team.
FBH vs forGG @ Geometry
TvT because its geometry
jihyun/cuteboy vs Shinwa/Dongrae @ Vampire
z/t teams have proven to dominate vampire and both teams happen to have very good z/t 2v2 teams.
stork vs anytime @ Monty Hall
i explained it already.
jju vs jaedong @ Sin Peaks of Baekdu
the best players on each team that are not locked into playing a specific map because of the racial domination on it. unfortunately they're both zerg
tt/siga vs Bright[z-zone]/N.aCe)Ever @ Chariots of Fire
z/p has proven to be the best combination to play on chariots and both teams happen to have very good z/p teams.
stork/fbh vs anytime/forgg @ Tau Cross
i think its likely we'll see the winner from the previous stork vs anytime game against the other player listed. actually i think lecaf will probably play anytime no matter the outcome since hes their most capable player by far i think (at least against all races). samsung will send out stork if he beats anytime on monty, or fbh if he fails to do so.
i agree with you but i think that for lecaf will play jeadong on ace coz he play on tau this season
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Melbourne5338 Posts
Prediction: FrOzean < Hiya @ Nemesis FireBatHero > fOrGG @ Geometry tz > tz @ Game 3 @ Vampire Jangbi < Anytime @ Monty Hall Stork > Jaedong @ Sin Peaks of Baekdu pz < pz @ Chariots of Fire Stork < Anytime @ Tau Cross
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Maybe Samsung can try to send a P against Jaedong, that might be a good idea.
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Germany / USA16648 Posts
and what P out of samsung's lineup would that be? because stork is a must on monty/nemesis (rather monty though) and the other are... not really good
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Yeah, i know... that's why i said "maybe", it's very unlikely to change anything
But it can still be nice to try to put every lecaf player on their worst mu.
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thedeadhaji
39473 Posts
SIX MIRROR MATCHES
Game 1 @ Nemesis - anytime vs stork Game 2 @ Geometry - forgg vs fbh Game 3 @ Vampire - dongrae/shinhwa vs jihyun/cuteangel Game 4 @ Monty Hall - backho vs jangbi Game 5 @ Sin Peaks of Baekdu - jaedong vs zergman Game 6 @ Chariots of Fire - ever/bright vs TT/sigamari Game 7 @ Tau Cross - jaedong vs stork
now, 5/6 of the lecaf lineup is an absolute given already. Chances are, Backho will be placed on Monty again. He really was surprisingly good last night on it. Khan coach knows well that these players are being sent on these maps, and will counter accordingly.
Stork and FBH really should be no brainers. FBH has a far superior tvt compared to forgg. Stork, you would consider to have a better pvp than anytime, but she *might* mix it up here looking at anytime's game last night. Well actually, seeing as we all thought Bisu was firmly in the lead for most of the game, she'll prolly send stork anywyas.
2v2s - no brainers, khan has used the same guys over and over.
monty - Khan really doesnt have that many 1v1 players after fbh and stork. Jangbi has played the most games after them but has a bad record. However, jangbi was used 2x in the last week of proleague, meaning that she intends to use him. Chances are, he's going on the P favored map of Monty.
peaks - khan knows jaedong is going here, and that he has been unstoppable as of late. There are two options here: (1) throw a P at him, such as jangbi (2) throw a Z at him, b/c ZvZ is usually unpredictable. Problem with 1 is that jangbi has not been playing all "that" well. However, jaedong did lose to the Future of Protoss in ODC, so who knows. The problem with 2 is that Zman hasnt played really at all this season, and jaedong's zvz is pretty much the best in the business along with savior.
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thedeadhaji
39473 Posts
Anytime will NOT be playing on monty. Lecaf coach doesn't run that way.
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51139 Posts
Game 1 @ Nemesis - Anytime vs Stork Game 2 @ Geometry - fOrGG vs FBH Game 3 @ Vampire - Dongrae/Shinhwa vs Cuteangel/Jihyun Game 4 @ Monty Hall - Hiya or Lomo vs Jangbi Game 5 @ Sin Peaks of Baekdu - Jaedong vs Jju Game 6 @ Chariots of Fire - Bright/Ever vs Zerglee/TT Game 7 @ Tau Cross - Jaedong vs Stork
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I dont think nemesis is stork's map.
Hard to predict really, but lecaf is fucked regardless of the matchups
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Nemesis Anytime> Jangbi. It will be a PvP and I think Lecaf should take the early lead. Stork's map is Monty Hall so Jangbi is next in line for the Khan Protoss.
Geometry: FBH > ForGG: After ForGG lost the two proleague games in the same day he has been looking down. FBH has an awesome TvT so he will take this.
Vampire: I have no clue but Dong/ Shinhwa have a pretty good record so Oz > Khan
Monty: Stork> Backho: Backho just came out on Monty yesterday + Show Spoiler + I think he will be played here again with hopes of sniping Stork.
Beakdu: Jaedong > Frozean. The only other person that could come out here is TT but I highly doubt that. Jaedong will rip up Frozean. If Jju comes out, Jaedong will whip his ass as well.
Chariots: Again I really don't know about 2v2 but I think Khan will take it using Sig/ TT. So Khan > Oz
Ace.. Tau Cross: This is hard to predict. Jaedong probably has the highest chance of coming out but Anytime can come out as well. Khan has FBH or Stork. If Jaedong comes out you have to worry that Stork might come out and ZvP is Jaedong's weakest matchup. If it is FBH vs Jaedong it could go either way but Jaedong will probably take it. If Anytime comes out he has a pretty good chance of winning against both of these players as long as he brings his Fall game. So... I predict both teams will go with veteran players and it will be Anytime > Stork
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Germany / USA16648 Posts
PvZ is also Stork's weakest MU, so it would even out with Jaedong's relatively weak ZvP
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